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引用次数: 0
摘要
本研究报告探讨了中等收入公民的投票行为如何解释右翼政党倾向于在多数选举制下执政的原因。研究选举制度对意识形态影响的文献越来越多,其中大部分侧重于制度解释。然而,选举规则是否会过度代表具有某些特定意识形态的政党也是一个行为问题。在 Iversen 和 Soskice(2006 年)的基础上,我们检验了两个论点。首先,中等收入群体在多数决制规则下更倾向于投票给右派,因为他们担心左派在这种情况下获胜会带来再分配的后果。其次,特别关注税率的中等收入者尤其容易在不同选举制度下投不同的票。结合《选举制度比较研究》(Comparative Study of Electoral Systems)和《新西兰选举研究》(New Zealand Election Study)的调查证据,我们表明中等收入公民的投票行为确实是多数制下右派占优势的原因。
Why do majoritarian systems benefit the right? Income groups and vote choice across different electoral systems
This research note investigates how the voting behavior of middle-income citizens explains why right-wing parties tend to govern under majoritarian electoral rule. The growing literature that investigates the ideological effects of electoral systems has mostly focused on institutional explanations. However, whether the electoral rules overrepresent parties with some specific ideologies is also a matter of behavior. Building on Iversen and Soskice (2006), we test two arguments. First, middle-income groups are more likely to vote for the right under majoritarian rules because they fear the redistributive consequences of a victory of the left in these contexts. Second, middle-income earners particularly concerned with tax rates are particularly prone to vote differently across electoral systems. Combining survey evidence from the Comparative Study of Electoral Systems and the New Zealand Election Study, we show that the voting behavior of middle-income citizens is indeed responsible for the predominance of the right under majoritarian systems.