Chi Wang, Qian Xin, Junjuan Li, Jianli Wang, S. Yao, Miao Wang, Maoxiang Zhao, Shuohua Chen, Shouling Wu, Hao Xue
{"title":"肾功能正常或轻度受损人群的估计肾小球滤过率轨迹与心房颤动风险的关系","authors":"Chi Wang, Qian Xin, Junjuan Li, Jianli Wang, S. Yao, Miao Wang, Maoxiang Zhao, Shuohua Chen, Shouling Wu, Hao Xue","doi":"10.1159/000539289","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Introduction: The association between the longitudinal patterns of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in populations with normal or mildly impaired renal function is not well-characterized. We sought to explore the eGFR trajectories in populations with normal or mildly impaired renal function and their association with AF. \nMethods: This prospective cohort study included 62,407 participants who were free of AF, cardiovascular diseases, and moderate to severe renal insufficiency (eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73m2) before 2010. The eGFR trajectories were developed using latent mixture modeling based on examination data in 2006, 2008, and 2010. Incident AF cases were identified in biennial electrocardiogram assessment and a review of medical insurance data and discharge registers. We used Cox regression models to estimate the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for incident AF. \nResults: According to survey results for the range and changing pattern of eGFR during 2006 to 2010, four trajectories were identified: high-stable (range, 107.47 to 110.25 mL/min/1.73m2; n=11,719), moderate-increasing (median increase from 83.83 to 100.37 mL/min/1.73m2; n=22,634), high-decreasing (median decrease from 101.72 to 89.10 mL/min/1.73m2; n=7,943), and low-stable (range, 73.48 to 76.78 mL/min/1.73m2; n=20,111). After an average follow-up of 9.63 years, a total of 485 cases of AF were identified. Compared with the high-stable trajectory, the adjusted hazard ratios of AF were 1.70 (95% CI, 1.09–2.66) for the moderate-increasing trajectory, 1.92 (95% CI, 1.18–3.13) for the high-decreasing trajectory, and 2.28 (95% CI, 1.46–3.56) for the low-stable trajectory. The results remained consistent across a number of sensitivity analyses.\nConclusions: The trajectories of eGFR were associated with subsequent AF risk in populations with normal or mildly impaired renal function.","PeriodicalId":17830,"journal":{"name":"Kidney Diseases","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.2000,"publicationDate":"2024-05-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Association of Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate Trajectories with Atrial Fibrillation Risk in Populations with Normal or Mildly Impaired Renal Function\",\"authors\":\"Chi Wang, Qian Xin, Junjuan Li, Jianli Wang, S. Yao, Miao Wang, Maoxiang Zhao, Shuohua Chen, Shouling Wu, Hao Xue\",\"doi\":\"10.1159/000539289\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Introduction: The association between the longitudinal patterns of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in populations with normal or mildly impaired renal function is not well-characterized. We sought to explore the eGFR trajectories in populations with normal or mildly impaired renal function and their association with AF. \\nMethods: This prospective cohort study included 62,407 participants who were free of AF, cardiovascular diseases, and moderate to severe renal insufficiency (eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73m2) before 2010. The eGFR trajectories were developed using latent mixture modeling based on examination data in 2006, 2008, and 2010. Incident AF cases were identified in biennial electrocardiogram assessment and a review of medical insurance data and discharge registers. We used Cox regression models to estimate the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for incident AF. \\nResults: According to survey results for the range and changing pattern of eGFR during 2006 to 2010, four trajectories were identified: high-stable (range, 107.47 to 110.25 mL/min/1.73m2; n=11,719), moderate-increasing (median increase from 83.83 to 100.37 mL/min/1.73m2; n=22,634), high-decreasing (median decrease from 101.72 to 89.10 mL/min/1.73m2; n=7,943), and low-stable (range, 73.48 to 76.78 mL/min/1.73m2; n=20,111). After an average follow-up of 9.63 years, a total of 485 cases of AF were identified. Compared with the high-stable trajectory, the adjusted hazard ratios of AF were 1.70 (95% CI, 1.09–2.66) for the moderate-increasing trajectory, 1.92 (95% CI, 1.18–3.13) for the high-decreasing trajectory, and 2.28 (95% CI, 1.46–3.56) for the low-stable trajectory. The results remained consistent across a number of sensitivity analyses.\\nConclusions: The trajectories of eGFR were associated with subsequent AF risk in populations with normal or mildly impaired renal function.\",\"PeriodicalId\":17830,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Kidney Diseases\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-05-20\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Kidney Diseases\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1159/000539289\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"UROLOGY & NEPHROLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Kidney Diseases","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1159/000539289","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"UROLOGY & NEPHROLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Association of Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate Trajectories with Atrial Fibrillation Risk in Populations with Normal or Mildly Impaired Renal Function
Introduction: The association between the longitudinal patterns of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in populations with normal or mildly impaired renal function is not well-characterized. We sought to explore the eGFR trajectories in populations with normal or mildly impaired renal function and their association with AF.
Methods: This prospective cohort study included 62,407 participants who were free of AF, cardiovascular diseases, and moderate to severe renal insufficiency (eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73m2) before 2010. The eGFR trajectories were developed using latent mixture modeling based on examination data in 2006, 2008, and 2010. Incident AF cases were identified in biennial electrocardiogram assessment and a review of medical insurance data and discharge registers. We used Cox regression models to estimate the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for incident AF.
Results: According to survey results for the range and changing pattern of eGFR during 2006 to 2010, four trajectories were identified: high-stable (range, 107.47 to 110.25 mL/min/1.73m2; n=11,719), moderate-increasing (median increase from 83.83 to 100.37 mL/min/1.73m2; n=22,634), high-decreasing (median decrease from 101.72 to 89.10 mL/min/1.73m2; n=7,943), and low-stable (range, 73.48 to 76.78 mL/min/1.73m2; n=20,111). After an average follow-up of 9.63 years, a total of 485 cases of AF were identified. Compared with the high-stable trajectory, the adjusted hazard ratios of AF were 1.70 (95% CI, 1.09–2.66) for the moderate-increasing trajectory, 1.92 (95% CI, 1.18–3.13) for the high-decreasing trajectory, and 2.28 (95% CI, 1.46–3.56) for the low-stable trajectory. The results remained consistent across a number of sensitivity analyses.
Conclusions: The trajectories of eGFR were associated with subsequent AF risk in populations with normal or mildly impaired renal function.
期刊介绍:
''Kidney Diseases'' aims to provide a platform for Asian and Western research to further and support communication and exchange of knowledge. Review articles cover the most recent clinical and basic science relevant to the entire field of nephrological disorders, including glomerular diseases, acute and chronic kidney injury, tubulo-interstitial disease, hypertension and metabolism-related disorders, end-stage renal disease, and genetic kidney disease. Special articles are prepared by two authors, one from East and one from West, which compare genetics, epidemiology, diagnosis methods, and treatment options of a disease.