{"title":"小行星(99942)阿波菲斯在 2029 年接近地球时的旋转动力学干扰","authors":"K. S. Lobanova, A. V. Melnikov","doi":"10.1134/S0038094623700107","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Using numerical modeling of the rotational dynamics of asteroid (99942) Apophis, the disturbances that occur in the rotational motion of asteroids during their close approaches to the Earth were studied. Such events can lead to significant changes in the speed of the asteroid’s own rotation and the orientation of its rotation axis in space. Assuming that the figure of Apophis is approximated by a triaxial ellipsoid, the dependences of changes in the rotation period of an asteroid on the parameters of the orbit and its rotational state before approaching the Earth were studied. It has been established that the rotation period of Apophis, which is currently about 30 h, may change due to the next approach to Earth in 2029 very significantly—to 10–15 h; in numerical experiments, both acceleration and deceleration of the asteroid’s rotation were observed. Perturbations in the rotational motion of the asteroid noticeably affect its further orbital dynamics as a result of changes in the magnitude of the Yarkovsky effect. It was concluded that as a result of close approach, the average rate of change of the semimajor axis of Apophis’s orbit caused by the Yarkovsky effect, which is currently about 200 m/year, may decrease to 160 m/year or increase to 300 m/year.</p>","PeriodicalId":778,"journal":{"name":"Solar System Research","volume":"58 2","pages":"208 - 219"},"PeriodicalIF":0.6000,"publicationDate":"2024-05-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Disturbances in the Rotational Dynamics of Asteroid (99942) Apophis at its Approach to the Earth in 2029\",\"authors\":\"K. S. Lobanova, A. V. Melnikov\",\"doi\":\"10.1134/S0038094623700107\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Using numerical modeling of the rotational dynamics of asteroid (99942) Apophis, the disturbances that occur in the rotational motion of asteroids during their close approaches to the Earth were studied. Such events can lead to significant changes in the speed of the asteroid’s own rotation and the orientation of its rotation axis in space. Assuming that the figure of Apophis is approximated by a triaxial ellipsoid, the dependences of changes in the rotation period of an asteroid on the parameters of the orbit and its rotational state before approaching the Earth were studied. It has been established that the rotation period of Apophis, which is currently about 30 h, may change due to the next approach to Earth in 2029 very significantly—to 10–15 h; in numerical experiments, both acceleration and deceleration of the asteroid’s rotation were observed. Perturbations in the rotational motion of the asteroid noticeably affect its further orbital dynamics as a result of changes in the magnitude of the Yarkovsky effect. It was concluded that as a result of close approach, the average rate of change of the semimajor axis of Apophis’s orbit caused by the Yarkovsky effect, which is currently about 200 m/year, may decrease to 160 m/year or increase to 300 m/year.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":778,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Solar System Research\",\"volume\":\"58 2\",\"pages\":\"208 - 219\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-05-20\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Solar System Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"101\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1134/S0038094623700107\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"物理与天体物理\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Solar System Research","FirstCategoryId":"101","ListUrlMain":"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1134/S0038094623700107","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"物理与天体物理","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Disturbances in the Rotational Dynamics of Asteroid (99942) Apophis at its Approach to the Earth in 2029
Using numerical modeling of the rotational dynamics of asteroid (99942) Apophis, the disturbances that occur in the rotational motion of asteroids during their close approaches to the Earth were studied. Such events can lead to significant changes in the speed of the asteroid’s own rotation and the orientation of its rotation axis in space. Assuming that the figure of Apophis is approximated by a triaxial ellipsoid, the dependences of changes in the rotation period of an asteroid on the parameters of the orbit and its rotational state before approaching the Earth were studied. It has been established that the rotation period of Apophis, which is currently about 30 h, may change due to the next approach to Earth in 2029 very significantly—to 10–15 h; in numerical experiments, both acceleration and deceleration of the asteroid’s rotation were observed. Perturbations in the rotational motion of the asteroid noticeably affect its further orbital dynamics as a result of changes in the magnitude of the Yarkovsky effect. It was concluded that as a result of close approach, the average rate of change of the semimajor axis of Apophis’s orbit caused by the Yarkovsky effect, which is currently about 200 m/year, may decrease to 160 m/year or increase to 300 m/year.
期刊介绍:
Solar System Research publishes articles concerning the bodies of the Solar System, i.e., planets and their satellites, asteroids, comets, meteoric substances, and cosmic dust. The articles consider physics, dynamics and composition of these bodies, and techniques of their exploration. The journal addresses the problems of comparative planetology, physics of the planetary atmospheres and interiors, cosmochemistry, as well as planetary plasma environment and heliosphere, specifically those related to solar-planetary interactions. Attention is paid to studies of exoplanets and complex problems of the origin and evolution of planetary systems including the solar system, based on the results of astronomical observations, laboratory studies of meteorites, relevant theoretical approaches and mathematical modeling. Alongside with the original results of experimental and theoretical studies, the journal publishes scientific reviews in the field of planetary exploration, and notes on observational results.