队列反应模型的新方法:订单大小的重要性

Hamza Bodor, Laurent Carlier
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中,我们将深入探讨队列反应模型在模拟限价订单簿中的应用和扩展。我们的方法强调订单规模的重要性,并结合订单类型和到达率,通过整合订单簿的当前状态,不仅确定订单到达的强度和类型,还确定订单规模。我们使用德国债券期货进行的实证校准显示,扩展的队列反应模型显著改善了对订单流属性和队列分布形状的描述。此外,我们的研究结果表明,扩展模型仅利用限价订单簿的内生信息,就能模拟出波动性与历史真实数据相当的市场。这项研究强调了队列反应模型及其扩展模型在精确模拟市场动态方面的潜力,并为限价订单簿建模的复杂性提供了有价值的见解。
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A Novel Approach to Queue-Reactive Models: The Importance of Order Sizes
In this article, we delve into the applications and extensions of the queue-reactive model for the simulation of limit order books. Our approach emphasizes the importance of order sizes, in conjunction with their type and arrival rate, by integrating the current state of the order book to determine, not only the intensity of order arrivals and their type, but also their sizes. These extensions generate simulated markets that are in line with numerous stylized facts of the market. Our empirical calibration, using futures on German bonds, reveals that the extended queue-reactive model significantly improves the description of order flow properties and the shape of queue distributions. Moreover, our findings demonstrate that the extended model produces simulated markets with a volatility comparable to historical real data, utilizing only endogenous information from the limit order book. This research underscores the potential of the queue-reactive model and its extensions in accurately simulating market dynamics and providing valuable insights into the complex nature of limit order book modeling.
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