尼日利亚的结核病发病率

Onwuka Gerald, Obinni Nweze, Mapis Ufulul S.
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摘要

:关于撒哈拉以南非洲地区已确诊的人体免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)感染者中结核病(TB)的流行率和风险的研究令人震惊,尤其是在非洲排名第二、世界排名第七的尼日利亚。为了确定新涂片阳性治愈与新涂片死亡、新涂片完成、失败和失访之间的关系,同时也为了确定其变异是否具有良好的拟合性。在 5%的显著性水平下,回归线上的决定系数为 0.963,可解释死亡患者中 96.3%的变化,0.741 可解释治愈患者中 74.1%的变化。这表明模型的未解释误差分别为 3.7% 和 25.9%。死亡患者的杜宾-沃森的多元线性回归数据中没有一阶线性自相关。在回归中,这意味着对治愈患者的统计显著性水平估计不足。方差膨胀因子(VIF)反映了多重确定性的解释,表明新涂片阳性完全和失败的多重共线性不足为虑,但对于新涂片阳性缺失,治愈患者和死亡患者的方差膨胀因子值均大于 4。F 检验解释了研究期间治愈和死亡患者的显著差异。决定系数((cid:1844) (cid:2870) )表明,在研究期间,治愈的病人和死亡的病人分别有 96.3% 和 74.1% 的差异。杜宾-沃森显示,治愈患者的残差自相关为零,死亡患者的残差自相关不为零
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Prevalence of Tuberculosis in Nigeria
: Studies on the prevalence and risk of tuberculosis (TB) among diagnosed human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients in sub-Saharan Africa are alarming especially Nigeria ranking second in Africa and seventh in the world. In other to ascertain the relationship between new smear positive cure and new smear died, new smear complete, failed and defaulted, and variation also to establish if it’s a good fit. In other to get our coefficient of determination at 5% level of significance, on the regression line is 0.963 explaining a 96.3% variation in the patients who died and 0.741 explaining 74.1% variation in patients that where cured. This shows that the models have an unexplained error as 3.7% and 25.9% respectively. There’s no first order linear auto-correlation in the multiple linear regression data for Durbin Watson for patient that died. In regressions, this implies an under estimated level of statistical significance for patients cured. determination, variance inflation factor (VIF) which mirrors the interpretation of multiple determination, indicates that multicollinearity in new smear positive complete, and failed is not enough to worry about but for new smear positive defaulted, its value is greater than 4 for both patients cured and patients that died. F-test explains a significant variance of patients that where cured and those that died within the study period. The coefficient of determination ((cid:1844) (cid:2870) ) indicates a 96.3% and 74.1% variation in both patients that where cured and those that died within the study period. Durbin Watson shows a zero-autocorrelation in the residuals for patients cured and a non-zero autocorrelation for patients that died
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