Progress Toward Tuberculosis Elimination and Tuberculosis Program Performance - National Tuberculosis Indicators Project, 2016-2022.

Problem/condition: Elimination of tuberculosis (TB) is defined as reducing TB disease incidence in the United States to less than 1 case per million persons per year. In 2022, TB incidence in the United States was 2.5 TB cases per 100,000 persons. CDC's TB program developed a set of national TB indicators to evaluate progress toward TB elimination through monitoring performance of state and city TB program activities. Examining TB indicator data enables state- and city-level TB programs to identify areas for program evaluation and improvement activities. These data also help CDC identify states and cities that might benefit from technical assistance.

Period covered: The 5-year period for which the most recent data were available for each of five indicators: 1) overall TB incidence (2018-2022), 2) TB incidence among non-U.S.-born persons (2018-2022), 3) percentage of persons with drug susceptibility results reported (2018-2022), 4) percentage of contacts to sputum acid-fast bacillus (AFB) smear-positive TB patients with newly diagnosed latent TB infection (LTBI) who completed treatment (2017-2021), and 5) percentage of patients with completion of TB therapy within 12 months (2016-2020).

Description of system: The National TB Indicators Project (NTIP) is a web-based performance monitoring tool that uses national TB surveillance data reported through the National TB Surveillance System and the Aggregate Reports for TB Program Evaluation. NTIP was developed to facilitate the use of existing data to help TB program staff members prioritize activities, monitor progress, and focus program improvement efforts. The following five indicators were selected for this report because of their importance in Federal TB funding allocation and in accelerating the decline in TB cases: 1) overall TB incidence in the United States, 2) TB incidence among non-U.S.-born persons, 3) percentage of persons with drug susceptibility results reported, 4) percentage of contacts to sputum AFB smear-positive TB cases who completed treatment for LTBI, and 5) percentage of patients with completion of TB therapy within 12 months. For this report, 52 TB programs (50 states, the District of Columbia, and New York City) were categorized into terciles based on the 5-year average number of TB cases reported to National TB Surveillance System. This grouping allows comparison of TB programs that have similar numbers of TB cases and allocates a similar number of TB programs to each category. The following formula was used to calculate the relative change by TB program for each indicator: [(% from year 5 - % from year 1 ÷ % from year 1) × 100].

Results: During the 5-year period for which the most recent data were available, most TB programs had improvements in reducing overall TB incidence (71.2%) and increasing the percentage of contacts receiving a diagnosis of LTBI who completed LTBI treatment (55.8%); the majority of programs (51.0%) also had improvements in reducing incidence among non-U.S.-born persons. The average percentage of persons with drug susceptibility results reported in most jurisdictions (28 of 52, [53.9%]) met or exceeded the 5-year national average of 97% (2018-2022). The percentage of contacts to sputum acid-fast bacillus (AFB) smear-positive TB patients with newly diagnosed latent TB infection (LTBI) who completed treatment increased in 29 of 52 (55.8%) jurisdictions from 2017 to 2021, signifying that, for most jurisdictions, steps have been taken to enhance performance in this area. The average percentage of patients with completion of TB therapy within 12 months was at or above the national average of 89.7% in approximately two-thirds (32 of 52 [61.5%]) of jurisdictions.

Interpretation: This report is the first to describe a 5-year relative change for TB program performance. These results suggest that TB programs are making improvements in activities that help identify persons with TB and LTBI and ensure patients complete treatment in a timely manner.

Public health action: Use of NTIP data from individual TB programs enables a more detailed examination of trends in program performance and identification of areas for program improvement. Assessing indicator trends by TB program provides an opportunity to gain a better understanding of program performance in comparison to other programs. It can also facilitate communication between programs regarding successes and challenges in program improvement. This information is valuable for TB programs to allocate resources effectively and provide additional context on TB control for public health policymakers.