Pleural carbohydrate antigen 50 and malignant pleural effusion: a prospective, double-blind diagnostic accuracy test.

Background: Serum carbohydrate antigen 50 (CA50) is an auxiliary diagnostic marker for various solid tumors, but it remains unclear whether CA50 in pleural fluid can assist in the diagnosis of malignant pleural effusion (MPE). This study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of pleural fluid CA50 for MPE in pleural effusion patients with undetermined causes.

Methods: This study prospectively recruited pleural effusion patients with undetermined causes who visited the Affiliated Hospital of Inner Mongolia Medical University between September 2018 and July 2021. We measured pleural fluid CA50 level with an electrochemiluminescence assay. We analyzed the diagnostic accuracy of CA50 and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) for MPE with the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The net benefits of CA50 and CEA were analyzed using the decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results: We enrolled 66 MPEs and 87 benign pleural effusions (BPEs). MPE patients had significantly higher CA50 and CEA than BPE patients. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of CA50 was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.63-0.80). CA50 had a sensitivity of 0.30 (95% CI: 0.19-0.41) and a specificity of 1.00 (95% CI: 1.00-1.00) at the threshold of 15 IU/mL. The decision curve of CA50 was above the reference line at the calculated risk probability of between 0.30 and 1.00. Venn diagram indicated that some patients with low CEA (<50 or <150 ng/mL) and/or negative cytology can be identified by positive CA50 (>15 IU/mL).

Conclusions: Pleural fluid CA50 has moderate accuracy and net benefit for detecting MPE. CA50 >15 IU/mL can be used to diagnose MPE. The combination of CA50 and CEA improves the diagnostic sensitivity for MPE.