模拟和分析人类偏好对当地电力市场的影响

Jens Hönen;Sjoerd C. Doumen;Phuong Nguyen;Johann L. Hurink;Bert Zwart;Koen Kok
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摘要

近年来,地方电力市场(LEM)取得了长足的进步,但在了解人类偏好对涉及家庭能源管理系统(HEMS)的地方电力市场有效性的影响方面还存在研究空白。受此启发,本研究旨在建立人类偏好模型并将其整合到 HEMS 中,从而在终端参与者和 LEM 之间架起一座桥梁。我们对 HEMS 的参数选择及其对 LEM 性能和结果的影响进行了敏感性分析。因此,我们采用自下而上的方法,利用行为模型来制定 LEM 中家庭的偏好和动机。通过 HEMS 对各种分布式能源资源进行建模和控制,允许家庭输入其偏好和动机,为 LEM 输出量身定制的投标曲线。敏感性分析表明,不同的偏好设置会产生不同的消费曲线,而消费曲线在很大程度上与偏好相一致。此外,还强调了使市场机制和指导信号与参与者目标相一致的重要性。
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Modeling and Analyzing the Effect of Human Preferences on a Local Electricity Market
Local electricity markets (LEMs) have progressed significantly in recent years, but a research gap exists in understanding the influence of human preferences on the effectiveness of LEMs when home energy management systems (HEMSs) are involved. Motivated by this, this work aims to model and integrate human preferences into a HEMS, bridging the gap between end-participant and LEM. A sensitivity analysis of the parameter choices of the HEMS and their impact on the performance and outcomes of a LEM is done. Hereby, a behavior model is used to formulate the preferences and motives of households within a LEM in a bottom-up approach. Various distributed energy resources are modeled and controlled via a HEMS, allowing households to input their preferences and motives to output a tailor-made bidcurve for the LEM. A sensitivity analysis reveals that different preference settings result in different consumption profiles, which to a large extent align with the preferences. In addition, the importance of aligning market mechanisms and steering signals with the participants' goals is highlighted.
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Table of Contents IEEE Transactions on Energy Markets, Policy, and Regulation Information for Authors Blank Page IEEE Power & Energy Society Information Table of Contents
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