行人逆流中拥堵概率的非单调行为和拉伸指数分布

Ze-Hao Chen, Zhi-Xi Wu, Jian-Yue Guan
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摘要

我们采用楼面场蜂窝自动机模型来研究在笔直走廊中移动的双向行人流的统计特性。我们引入了一个博弈论框架来处理多个行人试图移动到同一目标位置的冲突。通过计算机模拟,我们发现两个连续行人离开走廊的时间间隔的互补累积分布可以用拉伸指数分布来拟合,而且令人惊讶的是,两种行人流的统计特性受流量比率(即朝不同方向行走的行人比率)的影响不同。我们还发现,拥堵概率与流量比呈现非单调行为,在流量比约为 0.2 的中间值时表现最差。我们的模拟结果与一些经验观察结果一致,这表明行人的特殊性可能归因于避免碰撞的预测机制。
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Non-monotonic behavior of jam probability and stretched exponential distribution in pedestrian counterflow
We adopt a floor field cellular automata model to study the statistical properties of bidirectional pedestrian flow moving in a straight corridor. We introduce a game-theoretic framework to deal with the conflict of multiple pedestrians trying to move to the same target location. By means of computer simulations, we show that the complementary cumulative distribution of the time interval between two consecutive pedestrians leaving the corridor can be fitted by a stretched exponential distribution, and surprisingly, the statistical properties of the two types of pedestrian flows are affected differently by the flow ratio, i.e., the ratio of the pedestrians walking toward different directions. We also find that the jam probability exhibits a nonmonotonic behavior with the flow ratio, where the worst performance arises at an intermediate flow ratio of around 0.2. Our simulation results are consistent with some empirical observations, which suggest that the peculiar characteristics of the pedestrians may attributed to the anticipation mechanism of collision avoidance.
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