巴西亚马逊塔帕约斯河流域地形-气候相互作用中的人为活动

V. S. Franco, A. M. Lima, Rodrigo Rafael Souza de Oliveira, E. B. D. Souza, Giordani Rafael Conceição Sodré, Diogo Correa Santos, Marcos Adami, Edivaldo Afonso de Oliveira Serrão, Thaiane Soeiro da Silva Dias
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摘要

本研究旨在分析塔帕约斯河流域雨季(CHU+)和少雨季节(CHU-)的森林砍伐(DFT)与气候变量之间的关系。数据来源于多个机构,包括气候研究机构 (CRU)、天气预报和气候研究中心 (CPTEC)、PRODES 计划(巴西亚马逊森林砍伐监测项目)、国家水务局 (ANA) 以及国家环境预测中心/国家海洋和大气管理局 (NCEP/NOAA)。该研究评估了在没有出现厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)大气-海洋现象的三年中,最高气温(TMAX)、最低气温(TMIN)和降水量(PREC)的异常情况(ANOM)。研究还利用核方法研究了 DFT 密度较高的地区,并分析了 DFT 与气候变量之间的相关性。此外,它还利用 Mann-Kendall 技术评估了气候和环境数据的趋势。结果显示,在 TEMP 和 PREC 中存在明显的 ANOM。在 PREC 中,CHU+ 的 ANOM 值最高,为负值。在温度方面,盆地南部、西南部和西北部地区的 ANOM 值最大,为正值。关于 DFT 密度,数据显示中等密度的浓度最高,主要集中在高速公路沿线。在中塔帕霍斯分流域和下塔帕霍斯分流域的 CHU- 季节,DFT 和 TEMP 之间的相关性最为明显,这些地区的森林仍具有较多的保留特征。此外,研究还发现 TEMP 呈正趋势,PREC 呈负趋势。
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Anthropogenic Activity in the Topo-Climatic Interaction of the Tapajós River Basin, in the Brazilian Amazon
This research aimed to analyze the relationship between deforestation (DFT) and climatic variables during the rainy (CHU+) and less-rainy (CHU−) seasons in the Tapajós River basin. Data were sourced from multiple institutions, including the Climatic Research Unit (CRU), Center for Weather Forecasts and Climate Studies (CPTEC), PRODES Program (Monitoring of Brazilian Amazon Deforestation Project), National Water Agency (ANA) and National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NCEP/NOAA). The study assessed anomalies (ANOM) in maximum temperature (TMAX), minimum temperature (TMIN) and precipitation (PREC) over three years without the occurrence of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) atmospheric–oceanic phenomenon. It also examined areas with higher DFT density using the Kernel methodology and analyzed the correlation between DFT and climatic variables. Additionally, it assessed trends using the Mann–Kendall technique for both climatic and environmental data. The results revealed significant ANOM in TEMP and PREC. In PREC, the highest values of ANOM were negative in CHU+. Regarding temperature, the most significant values were positive ANOM in the south, southwest and northwestern regions of the basin. Concerning DFT density, data showed that the highest concentration was of medium density, primarily along the highways. The most significant correlations were found between DFT and TEMP during the CHU− season in the Middle and Lower Tapajós sub-basins, regions where the forest still exhibits more preserved characteristics. Furthermore, the study identified a positive trend in TEMP and a negative trend in PREC.
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