印度经济:绩效、政策、政治以及前景和挑战

IF 4.5 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Asian Economic Policy Review Pub Date : 2024-06-12 DOI:10.1111/aepr.12479
A. Panagariya
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文首先鸟瞰了印度的经济增长,指出印度经济在 1951-1988 年间增长缓慢,1988-2003 年间增长较快,2003-2023 年间增长最快。印度首任总理贾瓦哈拉尔-尼赫鲁试图建立一个自给自足的社会主义经济。因此,他首先把重点放在重工业上,由公共部门主导。就业和消费品生产则留给了小型家庭企业。其结果是,正规部门受到高度控制,几乎全部是资本,而非正规部门几乎全部是劳动力。增长缓慢是不可避免的结果。20 世纪 80 年代开始了一些临时性的自由化,90 年代变得更加系统化。然而,社会主义依然根深蒂固,导致自由化进程走走停停。随着改革的不断积累,本文预测了光明的未来,尽管大量劳动力从农业转移到工业和服务业可能仍然是一个挑战。
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Indian Economy: Performance, Policies, Politics, and Prospects and Challenges
The paper begins with a bird's‐eye view of growth, showing that the Indian economy grew slowly during 1951–1988, faster during 1988–2003, and the fastest during 2003–2023. India's first prime minister, Jawaharlal Nehru, sought to establish a self‐sufficient and socialist economy. Accordingly, he focused upfront on heavy industries, with the public sector leading the way. Employment and production of consumer goods were left to tiny household enterprises. The result was a highly controlled formal sector with nearly all capital and a swath of the informal sector with nearly all labor. Slow growth was the inevitable outcome. Some ad hoc liberalization began in the 1980s and became more systematic in the 1990s. However, socialism remained entrenched, resulting in a stop‐go process of liberalization. With reforms accumulating, the paper predicts a bright future, though the migration of the vast workforce from agriculture to industry and services is likely to remain a challenge.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
12.90
自引率
2.60%
发文量
39
期刊介绍: The goal of the Asian Economic Policy Review is to become an intellectual voice on the current issues of international economics and economic policy, based on comprehensive and in-depth analyses, with a primary focus on Asia. Emphasis is placed on identifying key issues at the time - spanning international trade, international finance, the environment, energy, the integration of regional economies and other issues - in order to furnish ideas and proposals to contribute positively to the policy debate in the region.
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