{"title":"印度经济:绩效、政策、政治以及前景和挑战","authors":"A. Panagariya","doi":"10.1111/aepr.12479","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The paper begins with a bird's‐eye view of growth, showing that the Indian economy grew slowly during 1951–1988, faster during 1988–2003, and the fastest during 2003–2023. India's first prime minister, Jawaharlal Nehru, sought to establish a self‐sufficient and socialist economy. Accordingly, he focused upfront on heavy industries, with the public sector leading the way. Employment and production of consumer goods were left to tiny household enterprises. The result was a highly controlled formal sector with nearly all capital and a swath of the informal sector with nearly all labor. Slow growth was the inevitable outcome. Some ad hoc liberalization began in the 1980s and became more systematic in the 1990s. However, socialism remained entrenched, resulting in a stop‐go process of liberalization. With reforms accumulating, the paper predicts a bright future, though the migration of the vast workforce from agriculture to industry and services is likely to remain a challenge.","PeriodicalId":45430,"journal":{"name":"Asian Economic Policy Review","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.5000,"publicationDate":"2024-06-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Indian Economy: Performance, Policies, Politics, and Prospects and Challenges\",\"authors\":\"A. Panagariya\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/aepr.12479\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The paper begins with a bird's‐eye view of growth, showing that the Indian economy grew slowly during 1951–1988, faster during 1988–2003, and the fastest during 2003–2023. India's first prime minister, Jawaharlal Nehru, sought to establish a self‐sufficient and socialist economy. Accordingly, he focused upfront on heavy industries, with the public sector leading the way. Employment and production of consumer goods were left to tiny household enterprises. The result was a highly controlled formal sector with nearly all capital and a swath of the informal sector with nearly all labor. Slow growth was the inevitable outcome. Some ad hoc liberalization began in the 1980s and became more systematic in the 1990s. However, socialism remained entrenched, resulting in a stop‐go process of liberalization. With reforms accumulating, the paper predicts a bright future, though the migration of the vast workforce from agriculture to industry and services is likely to remain a challenge.\",\"PeriodicalId\":45430,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Asian Economic Policy Review\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-06-12\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Asian Economic Policy Review\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1111/aepr.12479\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Asian Economic Policy Review","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1111/aepr.12479","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Indian Economy: Performance, Policies, Politics, and Prospects and Challenges
The paper begins with a bird's‐eye view of growth, showing that the Indian economy grew slowly during 1951–1988, faster during 1988–2003, and the fastest during 2003–2023. India's first prime minister, Jawaharlal Nehru, sought to establish a self‐sufficient and socialist economy. Accordingly, he focused upfront on heavy industries, with the public sector leading the way. Employment and production of consumer goods were left to tiny household enterprises. The result was a highly controlled formal sector with nearly all capital and a swath of the informal sector with nearly all labor. Slow growth was the inevitable outcome. Some ad hoc liberalization began in the 1980s and became more systematic in the 1990s. However, socialism remained entrenched, resulting in a stop‐go process of liberalization. With reforms accumulating, the paper predicts a bright future, though the migration of the vast workforce from agriculture to industry and services is likely to remain a challenge.
期刊介绍:
The goal of the Asian Economic Policy Review is to become an intellectual voice on the current issues of international economics and economic policy, based on comprehensive and in-depth analyses, with a primary focus on Asia. Emphasis is placed on identifying key issues at the time - spanning international trade, international finance, the environment, energy, the integration of regional economies and other issues - in order to furnish ideas and proposals to contribute positively to the policy debate in the region.