共同体土地模型 4.5 版利用四个大气强迫数据集对青藏高原净初级生产力和实际蒸散量的估算结果

Shan Lin, Kewei Huang, Xiang-yang Sun, Chunlin Song, Juying Sun, Shouqin Sun, Genxu Wang, Zhao-yong Hu
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摘要

碳和水过程模拟的准确性在很大程度上取决于在驱动陆地表面模式(LSM)时对大气强迫数据集的选择。特别是在高海拔地区,选择合适的大气强迫数据集可以有效减少陆面模式模拟的不确定性。因此,本研究利用共同体陆地模式 4.5 版(CLM4.5),在四个最先进的大气强迫数据集的驱动下,对青藏高原(TP)进行了四次离线陆面模式模拟。基于原位和网格参考数据集,评估了 CRUNCEP(CLM4.5 模型默认值)和其他三个基于再分析的大气强迫数据集(即 ITPCAS、GSWP3 和 WFDEI)在模拟净初级生产力(NPP)和实际蒸散量(ET)方面的性能。与原位观测结果相比,模拟结果对观测到的净初级生产力和蒸散发的判定系数(R2)分别为 0.58-0.84 和 0.59-0.87 之间,其中 GSWP3 和 ITPCAS 表现更优。在高原水平上,基于 CRUNCEP 的模拟与参考 NPP 和 ET 相比偏差最大。在综合考虑全球降水计划平均 NPP 和 ET 的大小和变化趋势时,基于 GSWP3 的模拟表现最佳。在 1982-2010 年期间,基于 ITPCAS 模拟的 TP 上蒸散发增加量明显大于其他三种模拟和参考蒸散发,这表明 ITPCAS 可能不适合研究 TP 上的长期蒸散发变化。这些结果表明,在对大陆坡进行长期碳和水过程模拟时,建议使用 GSWP3 驱动 CLM4.5。这项研究有助于提高高寒地区水碳模拟中 LSM 的精度。
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Estimates of net primary productivity and actual evapotranspiration over the Tibetan Plateau from the Community Land Model version 4.5 with four atmospheric forcing datasets
The accuracy of simulation of carbon and water processes largely relies on the selection of atmospheric forcing datasets when driving land surface models (LSM). Particularly in high-altitude regions, choosing appropriate atmospheric forcing datasets can effectively reduce uncertainties in the LSM simulations. Therefore, this study conducted four offline LSM simulations over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) using the Community Land Model version 4.5 (CLM4.5) driven by four state-of-the-art atmospheric forcing datasets. The performances of CRUNCEP (CLM4.5 model default) and three other reanalysis-based atmospheric forcing datasets (i.e., ITPCAS, GSWP3, and WFDEI) in simulating the net primary productivity (NPP) and actual evapotranspiration (ET) were evaluated based on in-situ and gridded reference datasets. Compared with in-situ observations, simulated results exhibited determination coefficients (R2) ranging from 0.58–0.84 and 0.59–0.87 for observed NPP and ET, respectively, among which GSWP3 and ITPCAS showed superior performance. At the plateau level, CRUNCEP-based simulations displayed the largest bias compared to the reference NPP and ET. GSWP3-based simulations demonstrated the best performance when comprehensively considering both the magnitudes and change trends of TP-averaged NPP and ET. The simulated ET increase over the TP during 1982–2010 based on ITPCAS was significantly greater than in the other three simulations and reference ET, suggesting that ITPCAS may not be appropriate for studying long-term ET changes over the TP. These results suggest that GSWP3 is recommended for driving CLM4.5 in conducting long-term carbon and water processes simulations over the TP. This study contributes to enhancing the accuracy of LSM in water-carbon simulations over alpine regions.
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