预测胃癌合并腹膜癌变死亡率的风险评分系统

M. A. Pereira, M. Ramos, A. Z. Charruf, André R. Dias, Ulysses Ribeiro
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引用次数: 0

摘要

伴有腹膜癌肿(PC)的胃癌(GC)预后特别差。这种有限的生存率让人怀疑哪些因素会导致患者的预后极差,哪些患者可以从更积极的治疗中获益,从而提高生存率并更好地控制病情。本研究旨在评估GC导致的PC患者的生存结果,并制定预测6个月死亡率的预后评分。我们对患有 PC 的临床 IV 期 GC 患者进行了分析。我们为每位患者的风险因素分配了分数,并通过九个变量计算出分数。在 326 例 IVB 期 GC 中,有 211 例(64.7%)患有 PC,并被纳入其中。计算得分后,136 例(64.5%)GC 被归为低风险组,75 例(35.5%)被归为高风险组。低危和高危患者的中位生存期分别为 7.9 个月和 1.9 个月(P < 0.001)。在高风险组中,77.3%的患者在<6个月内死亡(P<0.001)。姑息手术和化疗与较好的生存率相关,即使进行相同类型的治疗,预后组别仍具有统计学意义。总之,利用与患者表现状态和临床数据相关的变量开发的评分系统能够区分出6个月死亡率风险较高的PC GC患者。因此,有必要在一大批患者中验证我们的研究结果,以确认和保证结果的外部有效性。
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Risk Scoring System to Predict Mortality in Gastric Cancer with Peritoneal Carcinomatosis
Gastric cancer (GC) with peritoneal carcinomatosis (PC) has a particularly unfavorable prognosis. This limited survival raises doubts about which factors confer an extremely worse outcome and which patients could benefit from more aggressive treatments, in an attempt to improve survival and better control the disease. This study aimed to evaluate the survival outcomes of patients with PC due to GC and develop a prognostic score to predict 6-month mortality. We performed an analysis of clinical stage IV GC with PC. Scores were assigned to risk factors and calculated for each patient from nine variables. Among 326 IVB GC, 211 (64.7%) had PC and were included. After calculating the score, 136 (64.5%) GCs were classified as a low-risk group and 75 (35.5%) as a high-risk group. Median OS was 7.9 and 1.9 months for low- and high-risk patients (p < 0.001). In the high-risk group, 77.3% of the patients died in <6 mo (p < 0.001). Palliative surgery and chemotherapy were associated with better survival, and the prognostic groups maintained statistical significance even when the same type of treatment was performed. In conclusion, the scoring system developed with variables related to patient performance status and clinical data was able to distinguish GC with PC with a high risk of 6-month mortality. Accordingly, verifying and validating our findings in a large cohort of patients is necessary to confirm and guarantee the external validation of the results.
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