重新调整美元的国际主导地位

IF 1.3 Q3 ECONOMICS Journal of Financial Economic Policy Pub Date : 2024-06-07 DOI:10.1108/jfep-08-2023-0206
Jamilu Iliyasu, Suleiman O. Mamman, A. Abubakar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文旨在研究美国金融制裁对美元国际主导地位的影响。本文采用生存分析技术进行分析,该技术结合了生存概率和危险概率来确定中央银行重新调整储备的概率。这可能意味着,更多的制裁可能会对美元的国际储备货币主导地位产生意想不到的后果。原创性/价值据作者所知,本研究可能是使用生存分析法来研究金融制裁对美元的国际储备货币主导地位的影响的一次新尝试。
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Towards the recalibration of US dollar’s international dominance
Purpose This paper aims to examine the impact of United States (US) financial sanctions on the international dominance of the US dollar. Design/methodology/approach The survival analysis technique, which incorporates survival and hazard probabilities to determine the probability of central banks' reserve recalibration, is adopted for analysis. Findings The result shows that the probability of central banks recalibrating the dollar share of their official reserve currencies would increase by 60% for every ten additional financial sanctions by the United States. This could imply that more sanctions might have unintended consequences on the international reserve currency dominance of the US dollar. Originality/value To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study may be a novel attempt to use survival analysis to examine the impact of financial sanctions on the US dollar’s international reserve currency dominance.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.80
自引率
8.30%
发文量
13
期刊介绍: The Journal of Financial Economic Policy publishes high quality peer reviewed research on financial economic policy issues. The journal is devoted to the advancement of the understanding of the entire spectrum of financial policy and control issues and their interactions to economic phenomena. Economic and financial phenomena involve complex trade-offs and linkages between various types of risk factors and variables of interest to policy makers and market participants alike. Market participants such as economic policy makers, regulators, banking and competition supervisors, corporations and financial institutions, require timely and robust answers to the contemporary and emerging policy questions. In turn, such answers require thorough input by the academics, policy makers and practitioners alike. The Journal of Financial Economic Policy provides the forum to satisfy this need. The journal publishes and invites concise papers to enable a prompt response to current and emerging policy affairs.
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