印度棉花出口业绩的决定因素:实证分析

Alok Kumar Yadav, Utpal Chattopadhyay
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引用次数: 0

摘要

棉花出口业绩在弥补印度贸易赤字飙升的缺口方面发挥着至关重要的作用,并有助于实现国际贸易总体收益的最大化。我们利用 1990 年至 2020 年的数据研究了宏观经济决定因素对印度棉花出口绩效的影响。为评估对棉花出口绩效的长期和短期影响,我们采用了自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型。研究结果表明,产量和出口价格对印度棉花出口绩效的长期和短期影响在统计上都是积极的。然而,市场规模和汇率的估计结果对这一时期的棉花出口绩效影响不一。此外,我们的研究结果还为包括农民、出口商和政府在内的利益相关者提供了一些重要的政策启示,以提高农产品的竞争力。
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Determinants of India's cotton export performance: An empirical analysis

Cotton export performance plays a critical role in bridging the gaps in India's soaring trade deficits and helps in maximizing the overall gains from international trade. We examine the impact of macroeconomic determinants on India's cotton export performance using data from 1990 to 2020. To assess the long-run and short-run impacts on cotton export performance, an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model has been deployed. The findings reveal that yield and export price have had statistically positive significant impact on India's cotton export performance over the long-run and short-run. However, the resulting estimates of market size and exchange rate do have a mixed effect on cotton export performance over the period. Moreover, our results offer some important policy implications for the stakeholders including the farmers, exporters, and government to enhance Agri-product competitiveness.

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来源期刊
International Economics
International Economics Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
CiteScore
6.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
74
审稿时长
71 days
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