利用多维特征表征学习预测增产技术后的石油产量:剖面控制技术案例研究

SPE Journal Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI:10.2118/221461-pa
Lu Yang, Kai Zhang, Huaqing Zhang, Limin Zhang, Jun Yao, Yang Wang, Yongfei Yang, Jian Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

采用增产技术后的石油产量预测受到广泛关注,科学家们开始利用机器学习技术探索这一领域。然而,由于实地数据收集的限制和单一模型精度的局限性,很少有模型能精确预测技术实施后的石油日产量。在以往研究的基础上,本文介绍了一种利用多维特征表示学习预测增产作业后石油产量的模型。它深入研究了影响石油增产技术效果的三个特征类别:地质静态参数、生产动态参数和增产技术工艺参数。该模型以全局空间、局部空间和时间信息为重点,全面探索了这些特征。建立了一个完整的机器学习预测流程,包括数据预处理、模型训练、交叉验证以及实施增产技术后的石油产量预测。模型的第一部分涉及对处理过的数据进行表示学习,产生三组新特征:全局空间信息、局部空间信息和时间信息。这些特征与原始数据融合在一起,作为高级集合学习模型 XGBoost 的输入,用于预测实施技术后的石油日产量。构建模型后,根据模型在验证集和测试集上的表现,选取剖面控制技术的实际现场数据进行各种评估。与传统的机器学习回归算法相比,该模型的预测精度明显更高。在验证集和测试集中,使用给定增强技术的石油产量预测准确率分别达到 96% 和 94%。这项研究通过准确预测实施增产技术后的石油产量,为油田选择合适的增产技术奠定了技术基础,为油田的实际生产提供了指导。
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Predicting Oil Production After Enhancement Techniques Using Multidimensional Feature Representation Learning: A Case Study of Profile Control Technique
The prediction of oil production following enhancement techniques has garnered widespread attention, leading scientists to explore this area using machine learning. However, field data collection constraints and single model accuracy limitations mean few models can precisely predict daily oil production after technique implementation. Building upon previous research, this paper introduces a model that predicts oil production after enhancement operations, utilizing multidimensional feature representation learning. It thoroughly examines three characteristic categories affecting the effectiveness of oil production enhancement techniques: geological static parameters, production dynamic parameters, and enhancement technique process parameters. The model comprehensively explores these features with an emphasis on global spatial, local spatial, and temporal information. A complete machine learning prediction process is established, which includes data preprocessing, model training, cross-validation, and oil production prediction after implementing enhancement techniques. The first part of the model involves representation learning on processed data, producing three sets of new features: global spatial, local spatial, and temporal information. These features are fused with the original data, serving as input for the advanced ensemble learning model XGBoost, which predicts daily oil production after implementing the technique. Following the construction of the model, actual field data from profile control techniques are selected to conduct various evaluations based on the model’s performance on validation and test sets. Compared with traditional machine learning regression algorithms, this model demonstrates significantly higher predictive accuracy. The prediction accuracy for oil production using given enhanced techniques reached 96% in the validation set and 94% in the test set. This research provides a technical foundation for selecting appropriate production enhancement techniques in oil fields by accurately predicting oil production after implementing enhancement techniques, which offers guidance for actual oilfield production.
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