Raymond C. Chang, Ryan L. Miller, Katherine W. Kwon, Joanna C. Huang
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The objective of this study was to develop a model to extrapolate key outcomes observed in pivotal clinical trials to the US Medicare population, and to assess the potential direct cost offsets associated with dapagliflozin therapy.</p><h3>Methods</h3><p>All US 2022 Medicare beneficiaries (≥ 65 years of age) eligible to receive dapagliflozin were estimated according to drug label indication and Medicare enrollment and claims data. Incidence of key outcomes from the dapagliflozin clinical program were modelled over a 4-year time horizon based on patient-level data with CKD, HF, and T2D. Published cost data of relevant clinical outcomes were used to calculate direct medical care cost-offset associated with treatment with dapagliflozin.</p><h3>Results</h3><p>In a population of 13.1 million patients with CKM syndrome, treatment with dapagliflozin in addition to historical standard of care (hSoC) versus hSoC alone led to fewer incidents of HF-related events (hospitalization for HF, 613,545; urgent HF visit, 98,896), renal events (kidney failure, 285,041; ≥ 50% sustained decline in kidney function, 375,137), and 450,355 fewer deaths (of which 225,346 and 13,206 incidences of cardiovascular and renal death were avoided). 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Cost Offset of Dapagliflozin in the US Medicare Population with Cardio-Kidney Metabolic Syndrome
Introduction
Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome is highly prevalent in the US Medicare population and is projected to increase further. Sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors have indications in chronic kidney disease (CKD), heart failure (HF), and type 2 diabetes (T2D), providing protective efficacy across conditions within CKM syndrome. The objective of this study was to develop a model to extrapolate key outcomes observed in pivotal clinical trials to the US Medicare population, and to assess the potential direct cost offsets associated with dapagliflozin therapy.
Methods
All US 2022 Medicare beneficiaries (≥ 65 years of age) eligible to receive dapagliflozin were estimated according to drug label indication and Medicare enrollment and claims data. Incidence of key outcomes from the dapagliflozin clinical program were modelled over a 4-year time horizon based on patient-level data with CKD, HF, and T2D. Published cost data of relevant clinical outcomes were used to calculate direct medical care cost-offset associated with treatment with dapagliflozin.
Results
In a population of 13.1 million patients with CKM syndrome, treatment with dapagliflozin in addition to historical standard of care (hSoC) versus hSoC alone led to fewer incidents of HF-related events (hospitalization for HF, 613,545; urgent HF visit, 98,896), renal events (kidney failure, 285,041; ≥ 50% sustained decline in kidney function, 375,137), and 450,355 fewer deaths (of which 225,346 and 13,206 incidences of cardiovascular and renal death were avoided). In total this led to medical care cost offsets of $99.3 billion versus treatment with hSoC only (dapagliflozin plus hSoC, $310.3 billion; hSoC, $211.0 billion).
Conclusion
By extrapolating data from trials across multiple indications within CKM syndrome, this broader perspective shows that considerable medical care cost offsets may result through attenuated incidence of clinical events in CKD, T2D, and HF populations if treated with dapagliflozin in addition to hSoC over a 4-year time horizon.
期刊介绍：
Advances in Therapy is an international, peer reviewed, rapid-publication (peer review in 2 weeks, published 3–4 weeks from acceptance) journal dedicated to the publication of high-quality clinical (all phases), observational, real-world, and health outcomes research around the discovery, development, and use of therapeutics and interventions (including devices) across all therapeutic areas. Studies relating to diagnostics and diagnosis, pharmacoeconomics, public health, epidemiology, quality of life, and patient care, management, and education are also encouraged.
The journal is of interest to a broad audience of healthcare professionals and publishes original research, reviews, communications and letters. The journal is read by a global audience and receives submissions from all over the world. Advances in Therapy will consider all scientifically sound research be it positive, confirmatory or negative data. Submissions are welcomed whether they relate to an international and/or a country-specific audience, something that is crucially important when researchers are trying to target more specific patient populations. This inclusive approach allows the journal to assist in the dissemination of all scientifically and ethically sound research.
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