2000 年至 2021 年与气候有关的灾害的全球趋势和流行病学概况。

IF 2.6 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Tropical Medicine & International Health Pub Date : 2024-08-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-04 DOI:10.1111/tmi.14029
Andrea Fernández García, Rick Kye Gan, José Antonio Cernuda Martínez, Pedro Arcos González
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引用次数: 0

摘要

研究目的本研究旨在从发病率和死亡率的角度分析全球气候相关灾害的流行病学概况,并研究其时间趋势:这项横断面研究分析了 2000 年至 2021 年与气候有关的全球灾害,采用了联合国减灾战略和灾害流行病学研究中心的定义和标准。数据来源于 EM-DAT 数据库。研究评估了整个期间的趋势,并与前几年(1978-2000 年)进行了比较:结果:共记录了 7398 起与气候有关的灾害,其中水文灾害最为频繁,其次是气象和气候灾害。每百万居民中受灾人数和受伤人数的平均比例在统计上存在明显差异。在死亡率方面没有发现明显的趋势,但整个时期(1978-2021 年)和次时期(1978-2000 年)的频率呈上升趋势,且在统计上有显著意义。然而,2000 年以后的趋势显示出非显著性下降,这可能反映了在兵库和仙台框架下更好的备灾和救灾战略:研究强调,水文灾害是最频繁和最致命的气候相关事件,气候灾害影响和伤害的人数最多。由于缺乏将灾害纳入数据库的标准化标准,因此在比较结果和分析趋势方面面临巨大挑战。制定统一的纳入标准对于有效的数据分析和灾害管理至关重要。
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Global trend and epidemiological profiles of climate-related disasters from 2000 to 2021.

Objective: The objective of this study is to analyse the epidemiological profile of global climate-related disasters in terms of morbidity and mortality, as well as to examine their temporal trends.

Method: This cross-sectional study analysed climate-related global disasters from 2000 to 2021, utilising definitions and criteria from the United Nations Strategy for Disaster Reduction and the Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters. Data were sourced from the EM-DAT database. The study assessed trends over the entire period and compared them with previous years (1978-2000).

Results: A total of 7398 climate-related disasters were recorded, with hydrological disasters being the most frequent, followed by meteorological and climatological disasters. Statistically significant differences were noted in the average rates of affected individuals and injuries per million inhabitants. No significant trends were found in mortality rates, but the frequency trends for the entire period (1978-2021) and the subperiod (1978-2000) were increasing and statistically significant. However, the trend from 2000 onwards showed a non-significant decrease, potentially reflecting better disaster preparedness and response strategies under the Hyogo and Sendai Framework.

Conclusion: The study highlights hydrological disasters as the most frequent and deadliest climate-related events, with climatological disasters affecting and injuring the most people. The lack of standardised criteria for disaster inclusion in databases presents a significant challenge in comparing results and analysing trends. Establishing uniform inclusion criteria is crucial for effective data analysis and disaster management.

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来源期刊
Tropical Medicine & International Health
Tropical Medicine & International Health 医学-公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
CiteScore
4.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
129
审稿时长
6 months
期刊介绍: Tropical Medicine & International Health is published on behalf of the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Foundation Tropical Medicine and International Health, Belgian Institute of Tropical Medicine and Bernhard-Nocht-Institute for Tropical Medicine. Tropical Medicine & International Health is the official journal of the Federation of European Societies for Tropical Medicine and International Health (FESTMIH).
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