具有随机利率预期信息的最优投资组合

IF 1.4 Q3 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Decisions in Economics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI:10.1007/s10203-024-00463-z
Bernardo D’Auria, José A. Salmeron
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引用次数: 0

摘要

通过使用放大过滤技术,我们展示了如何将随机利率过程的未来趋势信息纳入金融模型。通过将利率建模为仿射扩散过程,我们得到了求解最优投资组合问题时额外预期对数效用的明确公式。我们首先解决附加信息直接涉及利率过程时的问题,然后将分析扩展到信息涉及底层马尔可夫链值的情况。该链的动态可能取决于预期的市场信息,在预定的时间点跳变,并调节随机利率过程的参数。理论研究随后辅以说明性的数值分析。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Optimal portfolios with anticipating information on the stochastic interest rate

By employing the technique of enlargement of filtrations, we demonstrate how to incorporate information about the future trend of the stochastic interest rate process into a financial model. By modeling the interest rate as an affine diffusion process, we obtain explicit formulas for the additional expected logarithmic utility in solving the optimal portfolio problem. We begin by solving the problem when the additional information directly refers to the interest rate process, and then extend the analysis to the case where the information relates to the values of an underlying Markov chain. The dynamics of this chain may depend on anticipated market information, jump at predefined epochs, and modulate the parameters of the stochastic interest rate process. The theoretical study is then complemented by an illustrative numerical analysis.

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来源期刊
Decisions in Economics and Finance
Decisions in Economics and Finance SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS-
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
9.10%
发文量
10
期刊介绍: Decisions in Economics and Finance: A Journal of Applied Mathematics is the official publication of the Association for Mathematics Applied to Social and Economic Sciences (AMASES). It provides a specialised forum for the publication of research in all areas of mathematics as applied to economics, finance, insurance, management and social sciences. Primary emphasis is placed on original research concerning topics in mathematics or computational techniques which are explicitly motivated by or contribute to the analysis of economic or financial problems.
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