分析 COVID-19 大流行期间加密货币、股票指数和基准原油之间的时频关联性

IF 6.9 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Financial Innovation Pub Date : 2024-06-18 DOI:10.1186/s40854-024-00645-z
Majid Mirzaee Ghazani, Ali Akbar Momeni Malekshah, Reza Khosravi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们使用了原油市场(WTI 和布伦特)、股票指数(道琼斯工业平均指数和标准普尔 500 指数)和基准加密货币(比特币和以太坊)三对数据集的每日回报序列,以研究 COVID-19 大流行期间各种数据之间的联系。我们考虑了两个特征:时间和频率。根据 Diebold 和 Yilmaz(Int J Forecast 28:57-66,2012 年)的技术,我们的研究结果表明,可比数据(关于回报率)的相关性大大强于波动性。根据 Baruník 和 Křehlík(J Financ Econ 16:271-296,2018 年)的方法,收益率(波动率)之间的相互关联性会随着从短期到长期的移动而降低(增加)。移动窗口分析显示,在 COVID-19 大流行期间,波动率和回报率的相关性突然增加。在小波相干性分析中,我们观察到与 COVID-19 爆发相对应的数据之间存在很强的相互联系。唯一的例外是比特币和以太坊的行为。具体来说,比特币与其他数据的组合表现出一种独特的行为。这一时期恰好与 COVID-19 大流行相吻合。显而易见,波动溢出具有长期影响;因此,决策者应采用适当的工具来减轻相关冲击(如 COVID-19 大流行病)的严重性,同时减少其副作用。
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Analyzing time–frequency connectedness between cryptocurrencies, stock indices, and benchmark crude oils during the COVID-19 pandemic
We used daily return series for three pairs of datasets from the crude oil markets (WTI and Brent), stock indices (the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500), and benchmark cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin and Ethereum) to examine the connections between various data during the COVID-19 pandemic. We consider two characteristics: time and frequency. Based on Diebold and Yilmaz’s (Int J Forecast 28:57–66, 2012) technique, our findings indicate that comparable data have a substantially stronger correlation (regarding return) than volatility. Per Baruník and Křehlík’ (J Financ Econ 16:271–296, 2018) approach, interconnectedness among returns (volatilities) reduces (increases) as one moves from the short to the long term. A moving window analysis reveals a sudden increase in correlation, both in volatility and return, during the COVID-19 pandemic. In the context of wavelet coherence analysis, we observe a strong interconnection between data corresponding to the COVID-19 outbreak. The only exceptions are the behavior of Bitcoin and Ethereum. Specifically, Bitcoin combinations with other data exhibit a distinct behavior. The period precisely coincides with the COVID-19 pandemic. Evidently, volatility spillover has a long-lasting impact; policymakers should thus employ the appropriate tools to mitigate the severity of the relevant shocks (e.g., the COVID-19 pandemic) and simultaneously reduce its side effects.
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来源期刊
Financial Innovation
Financial Innovation Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Finance
CiteScore
11.40
自引率
11.90%
发文量
95
审稿时长
5 weeks
期刊介绍: Financial Innovation (FIN), a Springer OA journal sponsored by Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, serves as a global academic platform for sharing research findings in all aspects of financial innovation during the electronic business era. It facilitates interactions among researchers, policymakers, and practitioners, focusing on new financial instruments, technologies, markets, and institutions. Emphasizing emerging financial products enabled by disruptive technologies, FIN publishes high-quality academic and practical papers. The journal is peer-reviewed, indexed in SSCI, Scopus, Google Scholar, CNKI, CQVIP, and more.
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