Association of Acute Incidental Cerebral Microinfarcts With Subsequent Ischemic Stroke in Patients With Cancer: A Population-Based Study.

Background and objectives: Incidental diffuse-weighted imaging (DWI)-positive subcortical and cortical lesions, or acute incidental cerebral microinfarcts (CMIs), are a common type of brain ischemia, which can be detected on magnetic resonance DWI for approximately 2 weeks after occurrence. Acute incidental CMI was found to be more common in patients with cancer. Whether acute incidental CMI predicts future ischemic stroke is still unknown. We aimed to examine the association between acute incidental CMI in patients with cancer and subsequent ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA).

Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study. We used Clalit Health Services records, representing over half of the Israeli population, to identify adults with lung, breast, pancreatic, or colon cancer who underwent brain MRI between January 2014 and April 2020. We included patients who underwent scan between 1 year before cancer diagnosis and 1 year after diagnosis. Primary outcome was ischemic stroke or TIA using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision codes. Secondary outcomes were intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) and mortality. Records were followed from first MRI until primary outcome, death, or end of follow-up (January 2023). Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratio (HR) for patients with and without acute incidental CMI, as a time-dependent covariate.

Results: The study cohort included 1,618 patients with cancer, among whom, 59 (3.6%) had acute incidental CMI on at least 1 brain MRI. The median (interquartile range) time from acute incidental CMI to stroke or TIA was 26 days (14-84). On multivariable analysis, patients with acute incidental CMI had a higher stroke or TIA risk (HR 2.97, 95% CI 1.08-8.18, p = 0.035) compared with their non-CMI counterparts. Acute incidental CMIs were also associated with mortality after multivariable analysis (HR 2.76, 95% CI 2.06-3.71, p < 0.001); no association with ICH was found.

Discussion: Acute incidental CMI on brain MRI in patients with active cancer is associated with an increased risk of near-future ischemic stroke or TIA and mortality. This finding might suggest that randomly detected acute incidental CMI in patients with cancer may guide primary cerebrovascular risk prevention and etiologic workup.