开发气候变化机场复原力评估模型

IF 3.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Journal of Air Transport Management Pub Date : 2024-07-13 DOI:10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102646
Chao-Che Hsu , Hsiang-Chuan Chang , Yan-Cheng Li , James J.H. Liou
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化正在影响包括航空运输在内的各类运输系统的稳定性。确保机场的备灾能力已成为一个关键问题。以往关于机场抗灾能力评估和风险分析的研究未能考虑灾害在不同阶段的影响以及各因素或标准之间的相互依存关系。本研究提出了考虑灾害应对各阶段的机场抗灾能力模型。首先,我们通过文献综述和专家调查收集了影响机场抗灾能力的标准,建立了一个新颖的评估框架。其次,本研究应用了改进的 DEMATEL(决策试验与评估实验室),该方法通过引入异质性影响分析的概念并结合中心性加权的概念进行了改进。然后,修改后的 DEMATEL 进一步与 Dombi 加权聚合器方法相结合,以探索标准之间的相互依赖关系,并有效整合专家意见。最后,运用修正的 VIKOR(VlseKriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje)分析法评估台湾主要国际机场的抗灾性能,并提出改进建议。结果表明,灾前准备是提高机场抗灾能力的最关键阶段,在四个阶段中的权重为 0.338。这可以通过实施有效的应急响应程序和灾难发生时的疏散计划来实现。此外,本研究还根据评估结果提出了各种改进策略,以提高机场的抗灾能力和恢复力。
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Developing an airport resilience assessment model for climate change

Climate change is affecting the stability of all types of transportation systems, including air transport. Ensuring the disaster preparedness capability of an airport has become a crucial issue. Prior studies on assessing airport resilience and risk analysis have failed to consider the impact of the disaster at various stages and the interdependence between the factors or criteria. This study proposes airport resilience model that considers the various stages of disaster response. First, we collect criteria affecting airport resilience through literature review and experts' survey to develop a novel evaluation framework. Second, this study applies the modified DEMATEL (Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory) which was modified by introducing the concept of heterogeneous impact analysis and combined with the concept of centrality weighting. Then, the modified DEMATEL is further combined with the Dombi Weighted Aggregator method to explore the interdependence relationships among the criteria and effectively integrate expert opinions. Finally, modified VIKOR (VlseKriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje) analysis is applied to assess the resilience performance of Taiwan's major international airports and provide suggestions for improvement. The results indicate that pre-disaster preparation, with a weight of 0.338 among four stages, is the most crucial stage for enhancing airport resilience. This can be achieved through the implementation of effective emergency response procedures and evacuation plans in the event of a disaster. Additionally, this study suggests various improvement strategies based on the assessment results to enhance disaster resistance and resilience.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
12.40
自引率
11.70%
发文量
97
期刊介绍: The Journal of Air Transport Management (JATM) sets out to address, through high quality research articles and authoritative commentary, the major economic, management and policy issues facing the air transport industry today. It offers practitioners and academics an international and dynamic forum for analysis and discussion of these issues, linking research and practice and stimulating interaction between the two. The refereed papers in the journal cover all the major sectors of the industry (airlines, airports, air traffic management) as well as related areas such as tourism management and logistics. Papers are blind reviewed, normally by two referees, chosen for their specialist knowledge. The journal provides independent, original and rigorous analysis in the areas of: • Policy, regulation and law • Strategy • Operations • Marketing • Economics and finance • Sustainability
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