通过综合奇异机器学习模型开发甲烷三重转化(TRM)工艺的催化剂

Paulo A. L. de Souza, Raja Muhammad Afzal, Felipe Gomes Camacho, Nader Mahinpey
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摘要

甲烷三重转化(TRM)是一种很有前途的技术,可同时生产氢气和合成气,且能效高(70% 以上)。然而,由于反应动力学复杂,且需要具有高稳定性和活性的催化剂材料,因此 TRM 的催化剂设计极具挑战性。机器学习,尤其是人工神经网络(ANN),已成为 TRM 工艺催化剂开发的有力工具。我们选取了 6000 多个数据点,为每个反应建立了单独的模型,然后将其组合成一个集合模型,用于在考虑 TRM 实验条件的情况下进行预测。结果发现,反应温度输入参数具有最大的相对重要性(61.4%),对 CH4 转化率的变化贡献最大。甲烷干转化(DRM)、甲烷蒸汽转化(SRM)和甲烷部分氧化(POX)模型的误差(RMSE)分别为 3.44%、2.20% 和 1.61%,集合模型的最大误差为 4.48%。新设计的人工神经网络(ANN)模型在准确预测 TRM 工艺中新型催化剂配方的 CH4 转化率方面表现出卓越的能力,误差偏差极小。
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Catalyst development for the tri‐reforming of methane (TRM) process by integrated singular machine learning models
Tri‐reforming of methane (TRM) is a promising technology for the simultaneous production of hydrogen and syngas with high energy efficiency (above 70%). However, catalyst design for TRM is challenging due to complex reaction kinetics and the need for catalyst materials with great stability and activity. Machine learning, particularly artificial neural networks (ANNs), has emerged as a powerful tool in catalyst development for the TRM process. More than 6000 data points were selected to build individual models for each reaction and later coupled into an ensembled model used to make predictions considering TRM experimental conditions. The reaction temperature input parameter was found to be the one with major relative importance (61.4%), contributing the most to changes in the CH4 conversion %. Dry reforming of methane (DRM), steam reforming of methane (SRM), and partial oxidation of methane (POX) models observed errors (RMSE) of 3.44%, 2.20%, 1.61%, respectively, with the ensembled model having a maximum error of 4.48%. The newly devised artificial neural network (ANN) model demonstrates remarkable capability in accurately predicting CH4 conversion for novel catalyst formulations in the TRM process, exhibiting minimal error deviation.
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