瑞典百年出生性别比与心血管疾病和全因死亡风险--一项全国登记研究。

IF 7.7 1区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH European Journal of Epidemiology Pub Date : 2024-09-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-15 DOI:10.1007/s10654-024-01137-1
Peter M Nilsson, Kristina Sundquist, Jan Sundquist, Casey Crump, Xinjun Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

人类的出生性别比(SRB)会围绕 0.51 的平均男婴比例发生暂时性变化。人们对出生性别比的历史、地理和世俗趋势进行了深入研究,但迄今为止尚未将其与总人口的健康结果(如心血管疾病(CVD)或出生队列随访期间的死亡率)联系起来。我们采用了基于瑞典国家登记册的关联分析,该登记册涵盖了从 1900 年到 2016 年的所有出生人口。根据国家登记册的数据,对 1997 年所有幸存者的每 10 年出生队列计算出生时的 SRB,以进行心血管疾病和死亡率风险的随访分析。如果将 SRB 的最高四分位数作为参考,则在进行全面调整后发现,SRB 最低四分位数的男性发生致命心血管疾病(HR 1.03;95% 置信区间:1.02-1.04)、非致命心血管疾病(HR 1.01;95% 置信区间:1.01-1.02)和死亡(HR 1.02;95% 置信区间:1.01-1.03)的风险略有增加。SBR最低四分位数与最高四分位数相比,HR为1.03(95%CI:1.02-1.05)。总之,在男性出生人数相对低于预期的出生队列中,观察到了长期的不利健康影响,心血管风险和总死亡率在人群水平上略有增加。这可能表明,在 20 世纪的发达国家中,属于所谓 "剔除队列 "的男性的风险略有增加,这可能反映了早年生活中的负面影响和孕妇接触的环境导致男性胚胎或胎儿的选择性丧失。从公共卫生的角度来看,SRB 作为与相对较小的人口健康影响有关的出生统计的一个方面,可能具有一定的监测重要性。
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Sex ratio at birth across 100 years in Sweden and risk of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality - a national register study.

The human sex ratio at birth (SRB) undergoes temporary changes around a mean proportion of 0.51 male births. SRB has been well studied for historical, geographical, and secular trends, but until now not linked to health outcomes in the total population, e.g. for cardiovascular disease (CVD) or mortality during follow-up of birth cohorts. We used linkage analysis based on national registers in Sweden that cover all births from 1900 to 2016. SRB at birth was calculated by every 10-year birth cohort in all survivors living in 1997 for a follow-up analysis of risk of CVD and mortality with data from national registers. When the highest quartile of SRB was used as reference, a slightly increased risk of fatal CVD (HR 1.03 (95% confidence intervals, CI): 1.02-1.04), non-fatal CVD (HR 1.01; 95%CI: 1.01-1.02) and mortality (HR 1.02; 95%CI, 1.01-1.03) was found after full adjustments in men belonging to the lowest SRB quartile. A similar pattern was also found for fatal CHD in women. in the lowest SBR quartile compared to the highest, HR 1.03 (95%CI: 1.02-1.05). In conclusion, in birth cohorts with a relatively lower than expected number of males born, long-term adverse health effects were observed with slightly increased cardiovascular risk and total mortality at the population level. This could indicate that men belonging to so-called "culled cohorts" in a developed country during the 20th century are characterized by a slightly increased risk that could reflect negative early life influences and environmental exposures in pregnant women resulting in selective loss of male embryos or fetuses. In a public health perspective SRB could be of some importance to monitor as an aspect of birth statistics linked to relatively minor population health effects.

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来源期刊
European Journal of Epidemiology
European Journal of Epidemiology 医学-公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
CiteScore
21.40
自引率
1.50%
发文量
109
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: The European Journal of Epidemiology, established in 1985, is a peer-reviewed publication that provides a platform for discussions on epidemiology in its broadest sense. It covers various aspects of epidemiologic research and statistical methods. The journal facilitates communication between researchers, educators, and practitioners in epidemiology, including those in clinical and community medicine. Contributions from diverse fields such as public health, preventive medicine, clinical medicine, health economics, and computational biology and data science, in relation to health and disease, are encouraged. While accepting submissions from all over the world, the journal particularly emphasizes European topics relevant to epidemiology. The published articles consist of empirical research findings, developments in methodology, and opinion pieces.
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