市场对南非银行实施巴塞尔资本协议的反应:事件研究法

Damilola Oyetade, P. Muzindutsi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究调查了股票市场的反应以及《巴塞尔协议 II》和《巴塞尔协议 III》的实施对南非银行股票回报率的影响。为实现这一目标,本研究侧重于六家商业银行从 2004 年 1 月 3 日至 2022 年 12 月 31 日的每日和年度数据。研究采用了事件研究法来确定特定事件发生日期前后的异常回报。巴塞尔协议资本要求的变化对股票回报的影响在四个事件中并不一致。市场对我国实施《巴塞尔 II 新资本协议》的要求反应良好。市场对随后全面实施的《巴塞尔协议 III》的反应则明显消极。最后,较高的巴塞尔资本要求(CAR)与较低的银行股票回报率相关。研究结果表明,银行监管机构增加资本以加强银行系统,但却限制了股东价值的最大化。
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MARKET REACTION TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF BASEL CAPITAL IN SOUTH AFRICAN BANKS: EVENT STUDY APPROACH
This study investigated the stock market reaction and the effect of the implementation of Basel II and Basel III on the stock returns of South African banks. In achieving this aim, this study focused on daily and annual data of six commercial banks from 3rd January 2004 to 31st December 2022. The event study methodology was employed to identify abnormal returns around the specified event dates. The effect of the changes in Basel capital requirements on stock returns was not uniform across the four events. The market reacted favourably to the implementation of the Basel II requirements in the country. There was a significantly negative market reaction to the subsequent full implementation of Basel III official. Finally, higher Basel capital requirements (CAR) was associated with lower bank stock returns. The findings implied that bank regulators increase capital to strengthen the banking system but constrain the maximisation of shareholders’ values.
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审稿时长
21 weeks
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