1992-2022 年经济和结构因素对海湾合作委员会经济体非石油出口部门发展的不对称影响:实现可持续经济增长的结构改革重点

Hassan Tawakol Ahmed Fadol, Duaa Alquayt
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摘要

本研究通过实证调查来探索海湾合作委员会经济体非石油出口行业发展的经济和结构变量之间的联系。研究时间跨度为 1992 年至 2022 年。我们不禁要问,为什么一些产油国能够实现经济多样化和经济建设,而另一些国家却做不到?我们推测,石油生产国在多样化和发展模式上的差异与其经济和结构特征的不同有关。这种差异可能导致多样化和发展趋势的差异。我们衡量了经济和结构因素的作用,以验证这一观点。研究结果表明,经济和结构因素在多样化和发展过程中发挥着关键作用。尤其是基础设施质量较高的国家。研究结果表明,海湾合作委员会当局应改善稳健的宏观经济条件,以支持其非石油出口部门,并提高机构质量驱动力,以加快本国非石油出口部门的发展。这些实证研究结果有助于海湾合作委员会的决策者更好地制定必要的经济政策,以实现海湾合作委员会国家全面、可持续的经济发展。海合会国家各经济部门的非石油出口对经济和结构要素变化的非对称反应机制可能有所不同。对这一联系进行部门研究可提供更多信息并补充我们的分析。必须容纳新的资本和基础设施,以支持国内和出口制造业。
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Asymmetric Impact of Economic, And Structural Factors on the Development of the Non-Oil Export Sector in GCC Economies 1992-2022: Structural Reform Priorities to Sustainable Economic Growth
The current study empirically investigates to explore the links between economic and structural variables of non-oil export industry development in GCC economies. The research spans the years 1992 to 2022. It is understandable to wonder why some oil-producing countries have been able to diversify and build their economy while others have not. We postulate that disparities in the diversification and development patterns of oil producers are related to differences in their economic and structural characteristics. Divergence in diversification and development trends may result from such discrepancies. We measure the role of economic and structural elements to test this idea. The findings indicate that economic and structural factors play a critical role in the process of diversification and development. Countries have the higher-quality infrastructure, in particular. The findings imply that GCC authorities should improve robust macroeconomic conditions to support their non-oil export sector and boost institutional quality drivers to accelerate non-oil export sector development in their nations. The empirical findings can assist GCC policymakers in better designing the economic policies required to accomplish the GCC countries' comprehensive and sustainable economic development. Asymmetric mechanisms in non-oil export responses to economic and structural factor changes are likely to differ across economic sectors in GCC countries. A sectoral examination of this link could provide further information and supplement our analysis. New capital and infrastructure must be accommodated to support domestic and export manufacturing.
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