在可能加入欧盟的情况下对乌克兰竞争能力一体化潜力的实证检验

Olena Zayats, Olena Pryiatelchuk, Maryna Korol, Pavlo Dziuba
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引用次数: 0

摘要

作为欧盟候选国,乌克兰的现代一体化优先事项要求对其竞争力(CP)进行界定和衡量。竞争政策的关键目标之一是确定能够提高乌克兰竞争力的因素,从而增强其融入欧洲的潜力。本研究旨在建立一个模型,全面研究乌克兰在可能加入欧盟的情况下,其竞争力的参数和组成部分在全球、地区和国家层面上的相互依存和相互作用。为实现这一目标,研究采用了一种特殊的统计指标--斯皮尔曼等级相关系数,作为回归相关分析框架的一部分。文章对以下三个主要方面进行了评估:(1) 乌克兰在全球和地区经济体系中的竞争潜力;(2) 代表评级的数据集内部的依赖关系,以及因子值(全球消费者保护指数的组成部分之一)和绩效特征的等级差异;(3) 乌克兰的后备竞争优势,通过比较全球消费者保护指数各组成部分的等级相关系数及其积分值的实际值和潜在可能值来评估。计算结果表明,乌克兰在可能加入欧盟时的竞争力指数较低,这主要是由于乌克兰在众多因素方面落后于欧盟成员国。这突出表明,乌克兰不仅需要正式加入欧盟和实现法律统一,还需要进行一系列全面改革,以便从加入这一一体化联盟中获得实实在在的竞争优势。
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EMPIRICAL TEST OF THE INTEGRATION POTENTIAL OF UKRAINE’S COMPETITIVE POWER IN THE EVENT OF POSSIBLE ACCESSION TO THE EU
Modern integration priorities for Ukraine necessitate defining and measuring its competitive power (CP) as an EU candidate country. One of the key objectives of competitive policy is identifying the factors that can enhance Ukraine’s CP, thereby strengthening its European integration potential. The study aims to develop a model that comprehensively examines the interdependence and interaction of parameters and components of Ukraine’s CP across global, regional, and national dimensions in the event of its potential accession to the EU. To achieve this goal, the study utilizes a special statistical indicator, Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient, as part of the regression-correlation analysis framework. The article provides an assessment of three main aspects: (1) Ukraine’s competitive potential in both global and regional economic systems; (2) dependencies within datasets representing ratings, as well as the variance in ranks of factor values (one of the components of the global CP index) and performance characteristics; (3) the reserve competitive advantages of Ukraine, which are evaluated by comparing actual and potentially possible values of the rank correlation coefficients of the components of the global CP index and its integral value. The calculation results indicate that Ukraine’s CP at the time of potential EU participation is low, primarily due to Ukraine lagging behind the EU members across a multitude of factors. This underscores the necessity for not only formal accession and legal unification but also a series of comprehensive reforms to attain tangible competitive advantages from participation in this integration association.
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