自由贸易协定与不平等:英国脱欧后的前景

Osama Alfalah, Mohammad Ali, Abdullah Alhammadi
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摘要

本文探讨了英国脱欧对英国收入不平等的潜在影响,并利用实证方法预测了这些影响。研究利用 1971 年至 2019 年的宏观经济数据,重点关注贸易和外国直接投资(FDI)对收入不平等的影响。通过对年度时间序列数据采用协整技术和误差修正模型(ECM),分析表明,从长期来看,较高的贸易水平在历史上减少了英国的收入不平等。因此,英国脱欧导致的贸易变化预计会对英国的收入和财富分配产生负面影响。另一方面,研究发现,较高的外国直接投资只对英国的收入分配产生了短期的负面影响。
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Free Trade Agreements and Inequality: The Prospect for the UK Post-Brexit
This paper examines the potential effects of Brexit on income inequality in the United Kingdom (UK) and utilizes empirical methods to predict these effects. The study focuses on the impact of trade and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on income inequality, using macroeconomic data from 1971 to 2019. By employing cointegration techniques and an Error Correction Model (ECM) on annual time series data, the analysis reveals that higher levels of trade have historically reduced income inequality in the UK over the long term. Consequently, changes in trade resulting from Brexit are expected to have a negative influence on the distribution of income and wealth in the UK. On the other hand, the study finds that higher FDI has only had a short-term negative effect on income distribution in the UK.
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期刊介绍: International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues (IJEFI) is the international academic journal, and is a double-blind, peer-reviewed academic journal publishing high quality conceptual and measure development articles in the areas of economics, finance and related disciplines. The journal has a worldwide audience. The journal''s goal is to stimulate the development of economics, finance and related disciplines theory worldwide by publishing interesting articles in a highly readable format. The journal is published Bimonthly (6 issues per year) and covers a wide variety of topics including (but not limited to): Macroeconomcis International Economics Econometrics Business Economics Growth and Development Regional Economics Tourism Economics International Trade Finance International Finance Macroeconomic Aspects of Finance General Financial Markets Financial Institutions Behavioral Finance Public Finance Asset Pricing Financial Management Options and Futures Taxation, Subsidies and Revenue Corporate Finance and Governance Money and Banking Markets and Institutions of Emerging Markets Public Economics and Public Policy Financial Economics Applied Financial Econometrics Financial Risk Analysis Risk Management Portfolio Management Financial Econometrics.
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