从史前时代到 21 世纪的预期寿命

Deltos Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI:10.12681/dj.38288
John Yfantopoulos
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摘要

本文旨在研究从史前时代到 21 世纪长寿人数大幅增加的因素。通过研究历史数据,我们发现人类的预期寿命从史前时代的 20 岁提高到了 2023 年的 85 岁左右。若干社会经济和医疗因素促成了这一改善,包括生活条件、卫生、住房、营养、教育、疾病预防、医疗进步、环境和经济增长。分析历史趋势,我们可以将其分为七个时期。在史前时代,原始的卫生和生活条件、有限的基本资源、高事故率和高传染病率导致人类寿命较短,在 20 至 30 岁之间。在古代,埃及、希腊和罗马的一些历史资料估计人类的预期寿命也在 20 至 35 岁之间。据记载,战争、传染病、营养不良和婴儿死亡率高是造成人类寿命短的主要因素。在中世纪(公元 500-1500 年),瘟疫(黑死病)等大屠杀对人口减少产生了重大影响。人均寿命在 30 至 40 岁之间波动。现代早期(公元 1500-1800 年)的特点是农业革命的到来、饮食的改善和更好的卫生条件。尽管取得了这些进步,但人们的预期寿命仍然相对不变,徘徊在 30 至 40 岁之间。随着工业革命(18-19 世纪)的到来,预期寿命增加到 40-50 岁。二十世纪的进步,包括医疗、卫生、生活条件、营养、为改善医疗服务而进行的卫生系统改革以及技术创新,大大提高了预期寿命。这些发展主要发生在发达地区,使人们的预期寿命超过了 70 岁。21 世纪的特点是预期寿命不断提高,目前已达到 85 岁。然而,不同国家、地区和社会经济群体之间的健康差距仍然很大。2022 年,各国之间的预期寿命差距高达 33.5 岁,从乍得、尼日利亚和中非共和国的 52.5 岁到摩纳哥、香港和日本的 86 岁不等。
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Life expectancy from Prehistoric times to the 21st Century
The purpose of this article is to investigate the factors contributing to significant improvements in longevity from the pre-historic times to the 21st century. Examining historical data, we witness an improvement in life expectancy from 20 years in prehistoric times to around 85 years in 2023. Several socio-economic and medical factors have contributed to this improvement, including living conditions, sanitation, housing, nutrition, education, disease prevention, medical advancements, environment, and economic growth. Analysing historical trends we can distinguish seven periods. In prehistoric times, primitive sanitary and living conditions, limited access to basic resources, high rates of accidents and infectious diseases resulted in short human longevity, ranging between 20 to 30 years. During ancient times, several historical sources from Egypt, Greece and Rome estimate life expectancy also at 20 to 35 years. Warfare, infectious diseases, malnutrition, and high rates of infant mortality are recorded as the main factors for this short life span. In the Middle Ages (500–1500 AD), the great killers like the Plagues (Black Death) had a significant impact on the reduction of population. Life expectancy fluctuated around 30 to 40 years. The Early Modern Period (1500–1800 AD) is marked by the advent of the agricultural revolution, enhancements in diet, and better sanitary conditions. Despite these advancements, life expectancy remained relatively unchanged, hovering between 30 and 40 years. With the Industrial Revolution (18th–19th centuries), life expectancy increased to 40-50 years. Advancements in the Twentieth Century, including medical care, sanitation, living conditions, nutrition, reforms in health systems for improved access to health services, and technological innovations, significantly increased life expectancy. These developments, predominantly in developed regions, led to life expectancy surpassing 70 years. The 21st Century is characterised by ongoing improvements in life expectancy, which has reached 85 years. However, significant health disparities persist between nations, regions, and socioeconomic groups. In 2022, the disparity in life expectancy among nations was as large as 33.5 years, with figures ranging from 52.5 years in Chad, Nigeria, and Central African Republic to 86 years in Monaco, Hong Kong, and Japan.
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