零膨胀泊松分布的默认贝叶斯测试

Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI:10.4310/22-sii750
Yewon Han, Haewon Hwang, Hon Keung Ng, Seong Kim
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在贝叶斯模型选择和假设检验中,用户应谨慎选择合适的先验分布,因为这是一个重要问题。客观的贝叶斯分析通常使用非信息先验,如 Jeffreys 先验。然而,由于这些非信息先验往往是不恰当的,因此与这些不恰当先验相关的贝叶斯因子并不明确。为了规避这个不确定的问题,可以通过本征法和分数法对贝叶斯因子进行修正。这些调整后的贝叶斯因子在渐近上等同于用适当褒义词计算的普通贝叶斯因子,称为本征褒义词。在本文中,我们推导了在零膨胀泊松分布下测试点零假设的本征先验。为了支持渐近等价的理论结果,我们进行了广泛的模拟研究,并分析了两个真实数据集,以说明本文所开发的方法。
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Default Bayesian testing for the zero-inflated Poisson distribution
In a Bayesian model selection and hypothesis testing, users should be cautious when choosing suitable prior distributions, as it is an important problem. More often than not, objective Bayesian analyses utilize noninformative priors such as Jeffreys priors. However, since these noninformative priors are often improper, the Bayes factor associated with these improper priors is not well-defined. To circumvent this indeterminate issue, the Bayes factor can be corrected by intrinsic and fractional methods. These adjusted Bayes factors are asymptotically equivalent to the ordinary Bayes factors calculated with proper priors, called intrinsic priors. In this article, we derive intrinsic priors for testing the point null hypothesis under a zero-inflated Poisson distribution. Extensive simulation studies are performed to support the theoretical results on asymptotic equivalence, and two real datasets are analyzed to illustrate the methodology developed in this paper.
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