Heparin-binding protein as a predictor of mortality in patients with diabetes mellitus and community-acquired pneumonia in intensive care unit : a propensity score matched study.

Background: Patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) are vulnerable to community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), which have a high mortality rate. We aimed to investigate the value of heparin-binding protein (HBP) as a prognostic marker of mortality in patients with DM and CAP.

Methods: This retrospective study included CAP patients who were tested for HBP at intensive care unit (ICU) admission from January 2019 to April 2020. Patients were allocated to the DM or non-DM group and paired with propensity score matching. Baseline characteristics and clinical outcomes up to 90 days were evaluated. The primary outcome was the 10-day mortality. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, Kaplan-Meier analysis, and Cox regression were used for statistical analysis.

Results: Among 152 enrolled patients, 60 pairs were successfully matched. There was no significant difference in 10-day mortality, while more patients in the DM group died within 28 d (P=0.024) and 90 d (P=0.008). In the DM group, HBP levels at ICU admission were higher in 10-day non-survivors than in 10-day survivors (median 182.21 [IQR: 55.43-300] ng/ml vs. median 66.40 [IQR: 34.13-107.85] ng/mL, P=0.019), and HBP levels could predict the 10-day mortality with an area under the ROC curve of 0.747. The cut-off value, sensitivity, and specificity were 160.6 ng/mL, 66.7%, and 90.2%, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that HBP was an independent prognostic factor for 10-day (HR 7.196, 95%CI: 1.596-32.455, P=0.01), 28-day (HR 4.381, 95%CI: 1.449-13.245, P=0.009), and 90-day mortality (HR 4.581, 95%CI: 1.637-12.819, P=0.004) in patients with DM.

Conclusion: Plasma HBP at ICU admission was associated with the 10-day, 28-day, and 90-day mortality, and might be a prognostic factor in patients with DM and CAP.