Acute radiation skin injury in stage III-IV head and neck cancer: scale correlates and predictive model.

Purpose: Active radiation skin injury (ARSI) has the highest incidence of acute adverse reactions caused by radiotherapy (RT) in patients with head and neck cancer (HNC). This study aimed to screen risk factors that can facilitate the identification of HNC patients at high risk of ARSI.

Methods: Data from 255 stage III-IV HNC patients who underwent intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) were collected. The data from our medical records, including clinical characteristics and hematological indices before RT, were retrospectively collected and arranged. The Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events Criteria (CTCAE), Radiation Therapy Oncology Group Criteria (RTOG), World Health Organization Criteria (WHO), Oncology Nursing Society (ONS), Acute Radiation Dermatitis Graduation Scale, Douglas & Fowler and Radiation Dermatitis Severity Scale (RDSS) were used to assess ARSI. Of these, CTCAE was used for further analysis. Binary logistic regression analyses were used to identity risk factors. To establish the correction between each risk factor and the ARSI score, the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were computed.

Results: The assessment results of the CTCAE with RTOG, WHO, ONS, Graduation Scale, Douglas & Fowler and RDSS have good consistency. After radiotherapy, 18.4% of patients had at least 3 (3 +) grade ARSI. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the KPS score, blood glucose level, white blood cell count, and plasma free thyroxine (FT4) concentration were independent risk factors for 3 + grade ARSI. A nomogram was constructed on the basis of these risk factors, which demonstrated good predictive power according to the area under the ROC curve (AUC). The satisfactory consistency and clinical efficacy of the nomogram were confirmed by calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Conclusion: A low KPS score, high blood glucose level, high white blood cell count, and high thyroid hormone prior to radiotherapy for stage III-IV HNC are independent risk factors for grade 3 + RSI.