预测胃低级别上皮内瘤变临床结果的新型简化内镜评分系统:"e-cout 系统"。

IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q1 Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology Neoplasia Pub Date : 2024-07-23 DOI:10.1016/j.neo.2024.101030
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景和目的:胃低级别上皮内瘤变(LGIN)的临床结果呈现出显著的多样性,而目前对内镜活检诊断的依赖为该疾病制定适当的治疗策略带来了局限性。本研究旨在建立胃LGIN预后预测评分系统(e-Cout系统),为解决这一临床难题提供理论基础:回顾性地从我院消化内镜中心2000年至2022年间进行的30多万例上消化道内镜检查中筛选出1013例符合纳入和排除标准的病例,其中484例作为发展队列,529例作为验证队列。通过相关统计分析,我们利用开发队列数据建立了胃LGIN的e-Cout系统,并进一步利用验证队列数据进行了内部验证:在开发阶段,根据相关回归系数,我们为六个预后不良的风险因素分配了分值:微血管(MV)扭曲 4 分,MV 增厚 3 分,溃疡 2 分,病变大小 > 2cm、病程 > 1 年、病变表面充血和发红各 1 分。然后将患者分为四个风险等级:低风险(0-1 分)、中风险(2-3 分)、高风险(4-6 分)和极高风险(≥7 分)。在验证阶段,所有风险等级的胃 LGIN 的三种不同结果均存在显著差异。随着风险等级的升高,逆转和进展的概率分别出现了显著下降和上升,这些差异具有统计学意义(P< 0.001):结论:拟议中的 e-Cout 系统有望帮助临床医生预测胃 LGIN 患者不同临床结局的概率和风险水平。该系统有望为该疾病临床策略的选择提供更好的基础和指导。
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A new, simplified endoscopic scoring system for predicting clinical outcome in gastric low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia: the “e-cout system”

Background and Objectives

The clinical outcomes of gastric low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (LGIN) exhibit significant diversity, and the current reliance on endoscopic biopsy for diagnosis poses limitations in devising appropriate treatment strategies for this disease. This study aims to establish a prognostic prediction scoring system (e-Cout system) for gastric LGIN, offering a theoretical foundation for solving this clinical challenge.

Methods

Retrospectively selecting 1013 cases meeting the inclusion and exclusion criteria from over 300,000 cases of upper gastrointestinal endoscopy performed at the Digestive Endoscopy Center of our hospital between 2000 and 2022, the cohort included 484 cases as development cohort and 529 cases for validation. Employing relevant statistical analysis, we used development cohort data to establish the e-Cout system for gastric LGIN, and further used validation cohort data to for internal validation.

Results

In the developmental stage, based on accordant regression coefficients, we assigned point values to six risk factors for poor prognosis: 4 points for microvessel (MV) distortion, 3 points for MV thickening, 2 points for ulcer, and 1 point each for lesion size > 2cm, disease duration > 1 year, and hyperemia and redness on the lesion surface. Patients were then categorized into four risk levels: low risk (0-1 point), medium risk (2-3), high risk (4-6), and very high risk (≥7). During the validation stage, significant differences in the three different outcomes of gastric LGIN were observed across all risk levels. The probability of reversal and progression showed a significant decrease and increase, respectively, with escalating of risk levels, and these differences were statistically significant (P< 0.001).

Conclusions

The proposed e-Cout system holds promise in aiding clinicians to predict the probability and risk levels of different clinical outcomes in patients with gastric LGIN. This system is expected to provide an improved foundation and guidance for the selection of clinical strategies for this disease.

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来源期刊
Neoplasia
Neoplasia 医学-肿瘤学
CiteScore
9.20
自引率
2.10%
发文量
82
审稿时长
26 days
期刊介绍: Neoplasia publishes the results of novel investigations in all areas of oncology research. The title Neoplasia was chosen to convey the journal’s breadth, which encompasses the traditional disciplines of cancer research as well as emerging fields and interdisciplinary investigations. Neoplasia is interested in studies describing new molecular and genetic findings relating to the neoplastic phenotype and in laboratory and clinical studies demonstrating creative applications of advances in the basic sciences to risk assessment, prognostic indications, detection, diagnosis, and treatment. In addition to regular Research Reports, Neoplasia also publishes Reviews and Meeting Reports. Neoplasia is committed to ensuring a thorough, fair, and rapid review and publication schedule to further its mission of serving both the scientific and clinical communities by disseminating important data and ideas in cancer research.
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