心源性休克短期死亡率的预测因素:埃及多中心登记的启示。

Hesham S Taha, Ahmed Gohar, Walid Ammar, Hossam Alhossary, Ahmed Adel, Reda Diab, Hala Mahfouz, Mirna M Shaker, Mina Samy
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摘要

背景:心源性休克(CS)仍然是发病率和死亡率的主要原因,尤其是在发展中国家,因为这些国家资源有限,缺乏有关 CS 结果的数据。本研究旨在调查埃及三级转诊中心的心源性休克患者 30 天内的全因死亡率:这项前瞻性多中心观察登记分析了来自六个心脏中心的 16681 名患者,以评估 CS 相关死亡率的发生率、原因和预测因素。在 529 名确诊的 CS 患者中,68.2% 为缺血性病因。缺血性和非缺血性 CS 患者的临床或实验室特征以及死亡率均无明显差异。在 30 天内,有 210 人死亡(39.7%)。非缺血性 CS 幸存者中糖尿病和肾功能恶化的发病率较高,而且更有可能接受多次肌注。ST段抬高型心肌梗死(STEMI)和非STEMI(NSTEMI)急性冠状动脉综合征患者的死亡率没有明显差异(42.7% vs. 43.7%,P 结论:ST段抬高型心肌梗死(STEMI)和非STEMI(NSTEMI)急性冠状动脉综合征患者的死亡率没有明显差异:在埃及队列中,CS 发生率为 3.17%,死亡率因病因不同而无差异。30天全因死亡率的独立预测因素包括肾功能恶化、白细胞计数、心脏骤停复苏以及使用多种肌力/血管加压剂。
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Predictors of short-term mortality in cardiogenic shock: insights from an Egyptian multicenter registry.

Background: Cardiogenic shock (CS) remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality, particularly in developing countries where there are limited resources and a lack of data on CS outcomes. This study aimed to investigate 30-day all-cause mortality in Egyptian patients with CS at tertiary referral centers.

Results: This prospective, observational multicenter registry analyzed 16,681 patients from six cardiac centers, to evaluate the incidence, causes and predictors of CS-related mortality. Among the 529 diagnosed CS patients, 68.2% had an ischemic etiology. No discernable variations were observed in clinical or laboratory features, as well as mortality rates, between ischemic and non-ischemic CS patients. Within 30 days, 210 deaths (39.7%) occurred. Non-survivors with ischemic CS had a higher prevalence of diabetes, worsening renal function, and were more likely to receive multiple inotropes. Mortality did not significantly differ between acute coronary syndrome patients with ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and non-STEMI (NSTEMI) (42.7% vs. 43.7%, p < 0.887). However, anterior STEMI patients had significantly higher mortality than those with inferior STEMI (49.5% vs. 21.6%, p < 0.003). Multivariate regression analysis identified predictors of mortality in CS, including the median hospital stay duration, leucocyte count, alanine transaminase levels, highest creatinine levels, resuscitated cardiac arrest, and use of norepinephrine, epinephrine, and dopamine.

Conclusion: In an Egyptian cohort, CS incidence was 3.17%, with no mortality difference based on the underlying etiology. Independent predictors of 30-day all-cause mortality included worsening renal function, leucocyte count, resuscitated cardiac arrest, and use of multiple inotropes/vasopressors.

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