{"title":"多群体适应性 SIS 流行病的最小模型","authors":"Massimo A. Achterberg, Mattia Sensi, Sara Sottile","doi":"arxiv-2407.17639","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We propose a generalization of the adaptive N-Intertwined Mean-Field\nApproximation (aNIMFA) model studied in \\emph{Achterberg and Sensi}\n\\cite{achterbergsensi2022adaptive} to a heterogeneous network of communities.\nIn particular, the multigroup aNIMFA model describes the impact of both local\nand global disease awareness on the spread of a disease in a network. We obtain\nresults on existence and stability of the equilibria of the system, in terms of\nthe basic reproduction number~$R_0$. Under light constraints, we show that the\nbasic reproduction number~$R_0$ is equivalent to the basic reproduction number\nof the NIMFA model on static networks. Based on numerical simulations, we\ndemonstrate that with just two communities periodic behaviour can occur, which\ncontrasts the case with only a single community, in which periodicity was ruled\nout analytically. We also find that breaking connections between communities is\nmore fruitful compared to breaking connections within communities to reduce the\ndisease outbreak on dense networks, but both strategies are viable to networks\nwith fewer links. Finally, we emphasise that our method of modelling adaptivity\nis not limited to SIS models, but has huge potential to be applied in other\ncompartmental models in epidemiology.","PeriodicalId":501044,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuanBio - Populations and Evolution","volume":"62 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A minimal model for multigroup adaptive SIS epidemics\",\"authors\":\"Massimo A. Achterberg, Mattia Sensi, Sara Sottile\",\"doi\":\"arxiv-2407.17639\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We propose a generalization of the adaptive N-Intertwined Mean-Field\\nApproximation (aNIMFA) model studied in \\\\emph{Achterberg and Sensi}\\n\\\\cite{achterbergsensi2022adaptive} to a heterogeneous network of communities.\\nIn particular, the multigroup aNIMFA model describes the impact of both local\\nand global disease awareness on the spread of a disease in a network. We obtain\\nresults on existence and stability of the equilibria of the system, in terms of\\nthe basic reproduction number~$R_0$. Under light constraints, we show that the\\nbasic reproduction number~$R_0$ is equivalent to the basic reproduction number\\nof the NIMFA model on static networks. Based on numerical simulations, we\\ndemonstrate that with just two communities periodic behaviour can occur, which\\ncontrasts the case with only a single community, in which periodicity was ruled\\nout analytically. We also find that breaking connections between communities is\\nmore fruitful compared to breaking connections within communities to reduce the\\ndisease outbreak on dense networks, but both strategies are viable to networks\\nwith fewer links. Finally, we emphasise that our method of modelling adaptivity\\nis not limited to SIS models, but has huge potential to be applied in other\\ncompartmental models in epidemiology.\",\"PeriodicalId\":501044,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"arXiv - QuanBio - Populations and Evolution\",\"volume\":\"62 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-07-24\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"arXiv - QuanBio - Populations and Evolution\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/arxiv-2407.17639\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv - QuanBio - Populations and Evolution","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2407.17639","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
A minimal model for multigroup adaptive SIS epidemics
We propose a generalization of the adaptive N-Intertwined Mean-Field
Approximation (aNIMFA) model studied in \emph{Achterberg and Sensi}
\cite{achterbergsensi2022adaptive} to a heterogeneous network of communities.
In particular, the multigroup aNIMFA model describes the impact of both local
and global disease awareness on the spread of a disease in a network. We obtain
results on existence and stability of the equilibria of the system, in terms of
the basic reproduction number~$R_0$. Under light constraints, we show that the
basic reproduction number~$R_0$ is equivalent to the basic reproduction number
of the NIMFA model on static networks. Based on numerical simulations, we
demonstrate that with just two communities periodic behaviour can occur, which
contrasts the case with only a single community, in which periodicity was ruled
out analytically. We also find that breaking connections between communities is
more fruitful compared to breaking connections within communities to reduce the
disease outbreak on dense networks, but both strategies are viable to networks
with fewer links. Finally, we emphasise that our method of modelling adaptivity
is not limited to SIS models, but has huge potential to be applied in other
compartmental models in epidemiology.