民用飞机采购与殖民地关系:1952-89 年喷气式客机市场的证据

Tobias A. Jopp, Mark Spoerer
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摘要

我们研究了(准)殖民地关系在全球南部航空公司采购喷气式飞机中的作用。由于我们无法获得飞机采购这一敏感问题的档案数据,因此我们采取了间接实证的方法。我们的调查基于一个数据集,其中包括 1952 年至 1989 年间交付的所有西方喷气式飞机。我们的问题是,前英国、法国、荷兰和美国(准)殖民地的航空公司是否倾向于购买前殖民地或最近殖民地的飞机,购买程度如何,购买时间多长。我们将政治上无偏见的喷气机交付的(事前)预期地理分布与(事后)实际历史分布和潜在偏差进行了比较。我们发现,在 20 世纪 70 年代早期/中期之前,殖民地与欧洲前殖民主的联系尤为重要,而到了 20 世纪 70 年代中期,在两次石油价格危机的触发下,纯粹的经济动机在采购决策中变得更加重要。
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Civil aircraft procurement and colonial ties: Evidence on the market for jetliners, 1952–89
We investigate the extent to which (quasi-)colonial ties played a role in the procurement of jet aircraft by airlines in the Global South. Because we do not have access to archival data on the sensitive issue of aircraft procurement, we take an indirect empirical approach. Our investigation is based on a dataset including all Western jet aircraft delivered between 1952 and 1989. We ask if, to what extent, and how long airlines from former British, French, Dutch, and US (quasi-)colonies tended to buy jets from their former or, respectively, most recent colonial master. We compare the (ex-ante) expected geographical distribution of politically unbiased jet deliveries to the (ex-post) actual historical and potentially biased distribution. We find that colonial ties to former colonial masters from Europe especially mattered until the early/mid-1970s when, triggered by the two oil price crises, pure economic motives gained more significance in informing procurement decisions.
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