Dana J Agar-Newman, Fraser MacRae, Ming-Chang Tsai, Marc Klimstra
{"title":"从垂直跳和水平跳预测全国橄榄球联盟混合赛运动员的短跑成绩。","authors":"Dana J Agar-Newman, Fraser MacRae, Ming-Chang Tsai, Marc Klimstra","doi":"10.1519/JSC.0000000000004799","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Abstract: </strong>Agar-Newman, DJ, MacRae, F, Tsai, M-C, and Klimstra, M. Predicting sprint performance from the vertical and horizontal jumps in National Football League Combine athletes. J Strength Cond Res 38(8): 1433-1439, 2024-Identifying fast athletes is an important part of the National Football League (NFL) Combine. However, not all athletes partake in the 36.58-m sprint, and relying on this single test may miss potentially fast athletes. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to determine whether sprinting times can be predicted using simple anthropometric and jumping measures. Data from the NFL Combine between the years 1999-2020 inclusive were used (n = 4,149). Subjects had a mean (±SD) height = 1.87 ± 0.07 m and body mass = 111.96 ± 20.78 kg. The cross-validation technique was used, partitioning the data into a training set (n = 2,071) to develop regression models to predict time over the 9.14-, 9.14- to 18.29-, 18.29- to 36.58-m, and 36.58-m segments using vertical jump, broad jump, height, and mass as the independent variables. The models were then evaluated against a test set (n = 2,070) for agreement. Statistically significant (p < 0.01) models were determined for 9.14-m time (adjusted R2 = 0.76, SEE = 0.05 seconds), 9.14- to 18.29-m time (adjusted R2 = 0.74, SEE = 0.04 seconds), 18.29- to 36.59-m time (adjusted R2 = 0.79, SEE = 0.07 seconds), and 36.58-m time (adjusted R2 = 0.84, SEE = 0.12 seconds). When evaluated against the test set, the models showed biases of -0.05, -0.04, -0.02, and -0.02 seconds and root-mean-square error of 0.07, 0.05, 0.07, and 0.12 seconds for the 9.14-, 9.14- to 18.29-, 18.29- to 36.58-m, and 36.58-m segments, respectively. However, 5-6% of the predictions lay outside of the limits of agreement. This study provides 4 formulae that can be used to predict sprint performance when the 36.58-m sprint test is not performed, and practitioners can use these equations to determine training areas of opportunity when working with athletes preparing for the NFL Combine.</p>","PeriodicalId":17129,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.5000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Predicting Sprint Performance From the Vertical and Horizontal Jumps in National Football League Combine Athletes.\",\"authors\":\"Dana J Agar-Newman, Fraser MacRae, Ming-Chang Tsai, Marc Klimstra\",\"doi\":\"10.1519/JSC.0000000000004799\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Abstract: </strong>Agar-Newman, DJ, MacRae, F, Tsai, M-C, and Klimstra, M. Predicting sprint performance from the vertical and horizontal jumps in National Football League Combine athletes. J Strength Cond Res 38(8): 1433-1439, 2024-Identifying fast athletes is an important part of the National Football League (NFL) Combine. However, not all athletes partake in the 36.58-m sprint, and relying on this single test may miss potentially fast athletes. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to determine whether sprinting times can be predicted using simple anthropometric and jumping measures. Data from the NFL Combine between the years 1999-2020 inclusive were used (n = 4,149). Subjects had a mean (±SD) height = 1.87 ± 0.07 m and body mass = 111.96 ± 20.78 kg. The cross-validation technique was used, partitioning the data into a training set (n = 2,071) to develop regression models to predict time over the 9.14-, 9.14- to 18.29-, 18.29- to 36.58-m, and 36.58-m segments using vertical jump, broad jump, height, and mass as the independent variables. The models were then evaluated against a test set (n = 2,070) for agreement. Statistically significant (p < 0.01) models were determined for 9.14-m time (adjusted R2 = 0.76, SEE = 0.05 seconds), 9.14- to 18.29-m time (adjusted R2 = 0.74, SEE = 0.04 seconds), 18.29- to 36.59-m time (adjusted R2 = 0.79, SEE = 0.07 seconds), and 36.58-m time (adjusted R2 = 0.84, SEE = 0.12 seconds). When evaluated against the test set, the models showed biases of -0.05, -0.04, -0.02, and -0.02 seconds and root-mean-square error of 0.07, 0.05, 0.07, and 0.12 seconds for the 9.14-, 9.14- to 18.29-, 18.29- to 36.58-m, and 36.58-m segments, respectively. However, 5-6% of the predictions lay outside of the limits of agreement. This study provides 4 formulae that can be used to predict sprint performance when the 36.58-m sprint test is not performed, and practitioners can use these equations to determine training areas of opportunity when working with athletes preparing for the NFL Combine.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":17129,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-08-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1519/JSC.0000000000004799\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"SPORT SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1519/JSC.0000000000004799","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"SPORT SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
Predicting Sprint Performance From the Vertical and Horizontal Jumps in National Football League Combine Athletes.
Abstract: Agar-Newman, DJ, MacRae, F, Tsai, M-C, and Klimstra, M. Predicting sprint performance from the vertical and horizontal jumps in National Football League Combine athletes. J Strength Cond Res 38(8): 1433-1439, 2024-Identifying fast athletes is an important part of the National Football League (NFL) Combine. However, not all athletes partake in the 36.58-m sprint, and relying on this single test may miss potentially fast athletes. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to determine whether sprinting times can be predicted using simple anthropometric and jumping measures. Data from the NFL Combine between the years 1999-2020 inclusive were used (n = 4,149). Subjects had a mean (±SD) height = 1.87 ± 0.07 m and body mass = 111.96 ± 20.78 kg. The cross-validation technique was used, partitioning the data into a training set (n = 2,071) to develop regression models to predict time over the 9.14-, 9.14- to 18.29-, 18.29- to 36.58-m, and 36.58-m segments using vertical jump, broad jump, height, and mass as the independent variables. The models were then evaluated against a test set (n = 2,070) for agreement. Statistically significant (p < 0.01) models were determined for 9.14-m time (adjusted R2 = 0.76, SEE = 0.05 seconds), 9.14- to 18.29-m time (adjusted R2 = 0.74, SEE = 0.04 seconds), 18.29- to 36.59-m time (adjusted R2 = 0.79, SEE = 0.07 seconds), and 36.58-m time (adjusted R2 = 0.84, SEE = 0.12 seconds). When evaluated against the test set, the models showed biases of -0.05, -0.04, -0.02, and -0.02 seconds and root-mean-square error of 0.07, 0.05, 0.07, and 0.12 seconds for the 9.14-, 9.14- to 18.29-, 18.29- to 36.58-m, and 36.58-m segments, respectively. However, 5-6% of the predictions lay outside of the limits of agreement. This study provides 4 formulae that can be used to predict sprint performance when the 36.58-m sprint test is not performed, and practitioners can use these equations to determine training areas of opportunity when working with athletes preparing for the NFL Combine.
期刊介绍:
The editorial mission of The Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research (JSCR) is to advance the knowledge about strength and conditioning through research. A unique aspect of this journal is that it includes recommendations for the practical use of research findings. While the journal name identifies strength and conditioning as separate entities, strength is considered a part of conditioning. This journal wishes to promote the publication of peer-reviewed manuscripts which add to our understanding of conditioning and sport through applied exercise science.