预测首次精神病发作后对利培酮反应的混合模型。

IF 3.6 3区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Revista Brasileira de Psiquiatria Pub Date : 2024-07-29 DOI:10.47626/1516-4446-2024-3608
Giovany Oliveira Costa, Vanessa K Ota, Matheus Rodrigues Luiz, Joice Santos Rosa, Gabriela Xavier, Jessica Honorato Mauer, Marcos L Santoro, Carolina Muniz Carvalho, Daniel A Cavalcante, Amanda V G Bugiga, Rodrigo A Bressan, Gerome Breen, Ary Gadelha, Cristiano Noto, Diego R Mazzotti, Sintia I Belangero
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引用次数: 0

摘要

患者对抗精神病药物的反应各不相同,这可能与临床和遗传异质性有关。本研究旨在确定临床、遗传和混合模型的性能,以预测首次发作的精神病(FEP)患者对抗精神病药物利培酮的反应。我们在利培酮治疗 10 周之前和之后对 141 名抗精神病药物无效的 FEP 患者进行了评估。积极与消极综合征量表应答率等于或高于 50%的患者被视为应答者(n = 72;51%)。使用支持向量机(SVM)、k-近邻(kNN)和随机森林(RF)进行分析。分别建立了临床和遗传(单核苷酸变异 [SNV])模型。创建了有特征选择和无特征选择的混合模型(临床+遗传因素)。采用 SVM 算法的临床模型的均衡准确率为 63.3%(置信区间 [CI] 0.46-0.69),高于遗传模型(均衡准确率:58.5% [CI 0.41-0.76] - kNN 算法)。混合模型包括未经治疗的精神病持续时间、临床总体印象-严重程度量表评分、年龄、大麻使用情况和 406 个 SNV,表现最佳(均衡准确率:72.9% [CI 0.62-0.84] - RF 算法)。包括临床和遗传预测因子在内的混合模型可以加强对抗精神病治疗反应的预测。
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A hybrid model for predicting response to risperidone after first episode of psychosis.

Patient response to antipsychotic drugs varies and may be related to clinical and genetic heterogeneity. This study aimed to determine the performance of clinical, genetic, and hybrid models to predict the response of first episode of psychosis (FEP). patients to the antipsychotic risperidone. We evaluated 141 antipsychotic-naïve FEP patients before and after 10 weeks of risperidone treatment. Patients who had a response rate equal to or higher than 50% on the Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale were considered responders (n = 72; 51%). Analyses were performed using a support vector machine (SVM), k-nearest neighbors (kNN), and random forests (RF). Clinical and genetic (with single-nucleotide variants [SNVs]) models were created separately. Hybrid models (clinical+genetic factors) with and without feature selection were created. Clinical models presented greater balanced accuracy 63.3% (confidence interval [CI] 0.46-0.69) with the SVM algorithm than the genetic models (balanced accuracy: 58.5% [CI 0.41-0.76] - kNN algorithm). The hybrid model, which included duration of untreated psychosis, Clinical Global Impression-Severity scale scores, age, cannabis use, and 406 SNVs, showed the best performance (balanced accuracy: 72.9% [CI 0.62-0.84] - RF algorithm). A hybrid model, including clinical and genetic predictors, can provide enhanced predictions of response to antipsychotic treatment.

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来源期刊
Revista Brasileira de Psiquiatria
Revista Brasileira de Psiquiatria 医学-精神病学
CiteScore
6.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
83
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Revista Brasileira de Psiquiatria (RBP) is the official organ of the Associação Brasileira de Psiquiatria (ABP - Brazilian Association of Psychiatry). The Brazilian Journal of Psychiatry is a bimonthly publication that aims to publish original manuscripts in all areas of psychiatry, including public health, clinical epidemiology, basic science, and mental health problems. The journal is fully open access, and there are no article processing or publication fees. Articles must be written in English.
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