用简单线性回归法预测 PT Unilever Indonesia TBK 的股价

Robiatul Witari Wilda, Mita Akbar Sukmarini, Alicia Christina Mahar
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摘要

投资世界是一个动态市场,其特点是波动剧烈,包括股票价值的变化。这项研究的动机是需要高精度地预测股票价格,以支持更精确的投资决策。PT.联合利华印尼公司(Unilever Indonesia Tbk)是印尼的龙头企业之一,因此,预测其股票价格对投资者而言具有战略价值。然而,预测股票价格是一项复杂的任务,受到各种经济和公司特定因素的影响。本研究旨在分析简单线性回归法在预测 PT.Unilever Indonesia Tbk 股票价格预测的有效性。结果表明,该方法可以进行准确预测,预测值为 2,707 印尼盾,平均绝对百分比误差 (MAPE) 为 2.65%。该方法的应用在投资领域有重大贡献,准确的股价预测可以帮助投资者确定投资交易的最佳时机。
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Prediksi Harga Saham PT. Unilever Indonesia TBK Dengan Metode Regresi Linier Sederhana
The world of investment is a dynamic market characterized by its fluctuations, including changes in stock values. This research is motivated by the need to predict stock prices with high accuracy to support more precise investment decision-making. PT. Unilever Indonesia Tbk is one of the leading companies in Indonesia, and thus, forecasting its stock prices holds strategic value for investors. However, predicting stock prices is a complex task influenced by various economic and company-specific factors. This study aims to analyze the effectiveness of the simple linear regression method in forecasting the stock prices of PT. Unilever Indonesia Tbk. The results show that this method can produce accurate predictions, with a forecasted value of Rp 2,707 and a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 2.65%. The application of this method has significant contributions in the investment world, where accurate stock price predictions can assist investors in determining the optimal timing for investment transactions.
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