欧盟 Rijekosijek 地区的金融同步性:一种非线性计量经济学方法

Domagoj Sajter
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摘要

本文旨在通过应用新颖的计量经济学方法,深入探讨克罗地亚金融生态系统错综复杂的动态。我们探讨的核心研究问题是非线性计量经济模型如何在克罗地亚财政框架内概括双曲贴现现象?本文的重要性在于其通过整合量子金融概念、分形动力学和随机同步性,重新定义传统计量经济学范式的潜力。这种跨学科方法为现有文献提供了一个新的视角,有助于研究支配克罗地亚经济的金融抽象概念。在方法论上,本研究利用 FRED 数据库中的数据,涵盖了消费者物价指数 (CPI)、实际国内生产总值 (GDP)、失业率 (U)、10 年期国债恒定到期利率 (IR) 和美国/欧元外汇汇率 (FX) 等变量,采用了复杂的随机微分方程 (SDE) 系统来模拟这些相互作用。这种创新方法有助于解构克罗地亚的财政问题,从而更深入地了解克罗地亚经济的随机行为和量子金融结构。本文的主要结论强调了克罗地亚经济固有的悖论和财政特质。我们发现,克罗地亚的金融市场受潜在同步性的支配,虽然看似随机,但却遵循随机振荡和分形动态的模式。这种认识对传统的经济假设提出了挑战,并强调了金融分析范式转变的必要性。
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Financial Synchronicities in European Union's Rijekosijek Region: A Transgressively Nonlinear Econometric Approach
The purpose of this paper is to delve into the intricate and abstruse dynamics of Croatia’s financial ecosystem through the application of novel econometric methodologies. The central research question we explore is: How do transgressively nonlinear econometric models encapsulate the hyperbolic discounting phenomena within the Croatian fiscal framework? The importance of this paper lies in its potential to redefine traditional econometric paradigms by integrating quantum financial concepts, fractal dynamics, and stochastic synchronicities. This interdisciplinary approach contributes to the existing body of literature by offering a novel perspective on the financial abstractions that govern Croatia’s economy. Methodologically, utilizing data from the FRED database, covering variables such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Unemployment Rate (U), 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate (IR), and U.S./Euro Foreign Exchange Rate (FX), the study employs a sophisticated system of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) to model these interactions. This innovative approach allows for the deconstruction of Croatia’s fiscal questions, providing deeper insights into the stochastic behaviour and quantum financial structures of its economy. The key conclusions of this paper underscore the inherent paradoxes and fiscal idiosyncrasies that characterize the Croatian economy. We find that Croatian financial markets are governed by underlying synchronicities that, while appearing random, follow a pattern of stochastic oscillations and fractal dynamics. This realization challenges conventional economic postulates and highlights the need for a paradigm shift in financial analysis.
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