基于多模态输入和深度学习的可持续租金价格预测模型--来自 Airbnb 的证据

Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI:10.3390/su16156384
Hongbo Tan, Tian Su, Xusheng Wu, Pengzhan Cheng, Tianxiang Zheng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在住宿领域,合理定价是房东实现利润最大化的关键,也是影响游客选择倾向的重要因素。关于价格预测与关键指标和价格之间因果关系的研究结果之间的联系,文献中并没有很好的讨论。本研究旨在确定基于共享经济的住宿服务的综合定价决定因素,并将其用于住宿价格预测。利用从 InsideAirbnb 获取的数据,我们识别了 50 个变量,分为五类:房产功能、房东属性、声誉、地理位置和不可或缺的其他因素。此外,我们还添加了房源描述和房东发布的特色图片作为输入,以显示影响价格的前因。我们将全连接神经网络、变压器双向编码器表征(BERT)和 MobileNet 与这些数据源结合起来,提出了一个价格预测模型。我们使用荷兰北荷兰阿姆斯特丹的 8380 个 Airbnb 房源对该模型进行了验证。结果表明,我们的模型优于其他输入简单或输入较少的模型,最小 MAPE(平均绝对百分比误差)为 5.5682%。本研究的新颖之处在于将多模态输入和多重神经网络应用于共享经济住宿价格的预测,以提高预测性能。研究结果为共享经济中符合租赁市场法规的房东价格设定提供了有用的指导,这对于可持续的酒店业增长尤为重要。
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A Sustainable Rental Price Prediction Model Based on Multimodal Input and Deep Learning—Evidence from Airbnb
In the accommodation field, reasonable pricing is crucial for hosts to maximize their profits and is also an essential factor influencing tourists’ tendency to choose. The link between price prediction and findings about the causal relationships between key indicators and prices is not well discussed in the literature. This research aims to identify comprehensive pricing determinants for sharing economy-based lodging services and utilize them for lodging price prediction. Utilizing data retrieved from InsideAirbnb, we recognized 50 variables classified into five categories: property functions, host attributes, reputation, location, and indispensable miscellaneous factors. Property descriptions and a featured image posted by hosts were also added as input to indicate price-influencing antecedents. We proposed a price prediction model by incorporating a fully connected neural network, the bidirectional encoder representations from transformers (BERT), and MobileNet with these data sources. The model was validated using 8380 Airbnb listings from Amsterdam, North Holland, Netherlands. Results reveal that our model outperforms other models with simple or fewer inputs, reaching a minimum MAPE (mean absolute percentage error) of 5.5682%. The novelty of this study is the application of multimodal input and multiple neural networks in forecasting sharing economy accommodation prices to boost predictive performance. The findings provide useful guidance on price setting for hosts in the sharing economy that is compliant with rental market regulations, which is particularly important for sustainable hospitality growth.
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