基于注意机制增强型 CNN-GRU 的斜坡安全系数预测

Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI:10.3390/su16156333
Qi Da, Ying Chen, Bing Dai, Danli Li, Longqiang Fan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文提出了一种结合卷积神经网络(CNN)、门控递归单元(GRU)和注意力机制的斜坡安全系数预测新方法。该方法能更好地捕捉长期依赖关系,增强对连续数据的建模能力,降低对噪声数据的依赖性,从而降低过拟合风险。目的是提高边坡安全系数预测的准确性,及时发现潜在的边坡稳定性问题,并采取相应的预防和控制措施,确保基础设施的长期稳定性和安全性,促进可持续发展。采用皮尔逊相关系数分析目标安全系数与采集参数之间的关系。使用一维 CNN 层从输入数据中提取高维特征,然后使用 GRU 层捕捉序列中参数之间的相关性。最后,引入注意力机制来优化 GRU 输出的权重,增强关键信息的影响力,优化整体预测模型。使用平均绝对误差 (MAE)、平均绝对百分比误差 (MAPE)、平均平方误差 (MSE)、均方根误差 (RMSE) 和 R2 等指标对所提模型的性能进行了评估。结果表明,CNN-GRU-SE 模型在斜坡安全系数的预测精度方面优于 GRU、CNN 和 CNN-GRU 模型,分别提高了 4%、2% 和 1%。总之,本文的研究为边坡安全系数预测领域做出了有价值的贡献,所提出的方法也有可能扩展到其他时间序列预测领域,为广泛的工程应用提供支持,进一步促进可持续发展的实现。
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Prediction of Slope Safety Factor Based on Attention Mechanism-Enhanced CNN-GRU
This paper proposes a new method for predicting slope safety factors that combines convolutional neural networks (CNNs), gated recurrent units (GRUs), and attention mechanisms. This method can better capture long-term dependencies, enhance the ability to model sequential data, and reduce the dependence on noisy data, thereby reducing the risk of overfitting. The goal is to improve the accuracy of slope safety factor prediction, detect potential slope stability issues in a timely manner, and take corresponding preventive and control measures to ensure the long-term stability and safety of infrastructure and promote sustainable development. The Pearson correlation coefficient is used to analyze the relationship between the target safety factor and the collected parameters. A one-dimensional CNN layer is used to extract high-dimensional features from the input data, and then a GRU layer is used to capture the correlation between parameters in the sequence. Finally, an attention mechanism is introduced to optimize the weights of the GRU output, enhance the influence of key information, and optimize the overall prediction model. The performance of the proposed model is evaluated using metrics such as the mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean squared error (MSE), root-mean-square error (RMSE), and R2. The results show that the CNN-GRU-SE model outperforms the GRU, CNN, and CNN-GRU models in terms of prediction accuracy for slope safety factors, with improvements of 4%, 2%, and 1%, respectively. Overall, the research in this paper makes valuable contributions to the field of slope safety factor prediction, and the proposed method also has the potential to be extended to other time-series prediction fields, providing support for a wide range of engineering applications and further promoting the realization of sustainable development.
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