Elvis Kobina Donkor, Bismark Ansu, Shaibu Osman, D. Otoo, W. Onsongo, Ernest Yeboah Boateng
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引用次数: 0
摘要
梅毒是一种性传播疾病,如果不及时治疗会导致严重的健康问题。通过阴道、肛门或口交直接接触梅毒疮很容易感染梅毒。梅毒还可以通过受感染的母亲传染给胎儿。本文构建了梅毒疾病的非线性确定性模型,以确定梅毒感染的动态变化。研究推导了模型的均衡点,并分析了这些均衡点的局部和全局稳定性。该研究推导出了模型的均衡点,并分析了这些均衡点的局部和全局稳定性。通过添加与时间相关的控制,该模型被扩展为最优控制问题,这有助于确定一系列可能的控制措施,从而最大限度地减少疾病的发生。分析表明,策略 B 和 C 被认为是最有效的,因为它们大大减少了暴露、无症状和有症状的传染性。我们建议利益相关者在努力减少人口中的疾病时应考虑策略 B 和 C,因为它们都有同样的效果,即大大减少暴露人群、无症状人群和无症状人群。
Modelling the dynamics of syphilis infection with personal protection and treatment as optimal control strategies
Syphilis is a sexually transmitted infection which when left untreated wouldlead to major health problems. Syphilis can easily be contracted by direct contact withSyphilis sore during vaginal, anal, or oral sex. Syphilis can also be passed on froman infected mother to her unborn child. In this paper, a nonlinear deterministic modelof Syphilis disease was constructed to determine the dynamics of Syphilis infections.The study deduced model’s equilibria and analyzed the local and global stability ofthese equilibria. The model was extended to optimal control problem by adding timedependent controls that helped characterize a range of possible controls that minimizedthe disease. The control system was solved qualitatively and numerically to evaluatethe effectiveness of the considered controls using Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle.The analysis indicated that strategies B and C are considered most effective as theysubstantially minimized the exposed, asymptomatic and symptomatic infectious. Werecommend that stakeholders should consider strategy B and C in their effort to mitigate the disease from the population as they all have the same effect of substantiallyminimizing the exposed, symptomatic and asymptomatic populations.