机器学习算法在 IPL 中跑位预测的比较研究

Arya Bharne, Bhakti Miglani, Saundarya Raut
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摘要

在包括板球在内的众多体育运动中,机器学习已发展成为预测结果的有力工具。本研究探讨了机器学习在印度超级联赛(IPL)比赛中预测跑垒情况的潜力。我们探讨了随机森林、逻辑回归、梯度提升、K-近邻和决策树分类器这五种算法在开发模型以预测球队在第二局追赶既定目标的成功率方面的有效性。有关击球/保龄球队、目标得分、丢掉的小门和其他因素的历史数据被用来训练各种模型。与其他算法(80.06% - 98.73%)相比,随机森林模型预测输赢的准确率最高(99.81%)。我们的研究强调了机器学习(尤其是随机森林)在准确预测 IPL 追逐比分方面的潜力。这为板球爱好者、分析师甚至是战略家提供了宝贵的见解。关键字随机森林、逻辑回归、机器学习算法、模型性能、分类。
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A Comparative Study of Machine Learning Algorithms for Run Chase Prediction in IPL
Machine learning has evolved as a potent tool for predicting outcomes in numerous sports, including cricket. This study investigates the potential of machine learning for run chase prediction in Indian Premier League (IPL) matches. We explore the effectiveness of five algorithms - Random Forest, Logistic Regression, Gradient Boosting, K-Nearest Neighbors and Decision Tree Classifier - in developing models to predict the success of a team chasing a set target in the second innings. Historical data on batting/bowling teams, target score, wickets lost, and other factors was used to train various models. The Random Forest model achieved the highest accuracy (99.81%) in predicting win/loss compared to other algorithms (80.06% - 98.73%). Our research emphasizes the potential of machine learning, particularly Random Forest, for accurate IPL run-chase prediction. This offers valuable insights for cricket fans, analysts, and potentially even strategists. Key Words: Random Forest, Logistic Regression, Machine Learning Algorithms, Model Performance, Classification.
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