清洁能源领域基于集成深度学习算法的短期光伏系统输出功率预测

IF 0.2 Q4 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS International Journal of e-Collaboration Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI:10.4018/ijec.346979
Rui Wang, Xin Liu, Yingxian Chang, Donglan Liu, Honglei Yao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

光伏发电系统在可再生能源中发挥着重要作用。因此,准确预测光伏系统的短期输出功率已成为电网实时管理的关键挑战。本研究以英利绿色能源光伏系统为研究对象,采用卷积神经网络和长短期记忆网络融合模型(CNN-LSTM)预测短期功率。该模型融合了 CNN 的数据特征提取和 LSTM 的时间序列预测能力,具有较高的准确性和稳定性。实验结果表明,CNN-LSTM 模型的预测误差均值和方差较小,预测结果稳定可靠,在不同场景下的预测结果一致。这为基于深度学习的光伏系统输出功率预测提供了理论支持。
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Short-Term Photovoltaic System Output Power Prediction Based on Integrated Deep Learning Algorithms in the Clean Energy Sector
Photovoltaic power generation system plays an important role in renewable energy. Therefore, accurately predicting the short-term output power of photovoltaic system has become a key challenge for real-time power grid management. This study focuses on Yingli's green energy photovoltaic system, and uses the convolution neural network and long-term and short-term memory network fusion model (CNN-LSTM) to predict the short-term power. The model integrates CNN's data feature extraction and LSTM's time series prediction ability, showing high accuracy and stability. The experimental results show that CNN-LSTM model has a low mean and variance of prediction error, and the prediction is stable and reliable, and it is consistent in different scenarios. This provides theoretical support for the output power prediction of photovoltaic system based on deep learning.
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来源期刊
International Journal of e-Collaboration
International Journal of e-Collaboration COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS-
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
5.90%
发文量
73
期刊介绍: The International Journal of e-Collaboration (IJeC) addresses the design and implementation of e-collaboration technologies, assesses its behavioral impact on individuals and groups, and presents theoretical considerations on links between the use of e-collaboration technologies and behavioral patterns. An innovative collection of the latest research findings, this journal covers significant topics such as Web-based chat tools, Web-based asynchronous conferencing tools, e-mail, listservs, collaborative writing tools, group decision support systems, teleconferencing suites, workflow automation systems, and document management technologies.
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