非洲内部移民和实际汇率

International Economics Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-18 DOI:10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100526
Morel Tien
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引用次数: 0

摘要

非洲对移民的开放具有强烈的大陆性(约 80% 的非洲移民在非洲定居)。本文探讨了非洲大陆内部移民如何影响非洲经济体的实际汇率。国际移民可能通过多种途径(需求方和供应方对价格的影响、通过人口结构和汇款产生的间接影响)对实际汇率产生影响,从而导致相互矛盾的效应。利用 1990-2019 年期间 51 个非洲国家的样本,计量经济学估计显示,非洲内部净移民的增加对东道国的实际汇率产生了升值效应。在使用基于引力的移民工具控制潜在的内生性时,这一结论成立。
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Intra-African migration and the real exchange rate

Africa’s openness to migration is strongly continental (about 80% of African migrants are settled in Africa). This paper explores how intra-continental migration impacts the real exchange rates of African economies. International migration may impact the real exchange rate through many pathways (demand-side and supply-side effects on prices, indirect effects through demography structure and remittances), thus leading to contradictory effects. Using a sample of 51 African countries over the period 1990–2019, econometric estimations show evidence that an increase in net intra-African migration exerts an appreciating effect on the real exchange rate of host countries. This finding holds when controlling for potential endogeneity using gravity-based instruments for migration.

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来源期刊
International Economics
International Economics Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
CiteScore
6.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
74
审稿时长
71 days
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