支持与水有关的风险评估决策过程:模型和方法综述

Q1 Social Sciences Valori e Valutazioni Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI:10.48264/vvsiev-20243507
Caterina Caprioli, Chiara D’Alpaos
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引用次数: 0

摘要

全世界都在经受气候变化的影响,与水有关的灾害和风险在不同地区的严重程度和频率都在增加。因此,提高地区抗灾能力和降低这些风险已成为当今最大的挑战之一。在此背景下,决策者和规划者需要强有力且透明的决策工具,以有效解决并快速应对与水有关的灾害。本文回顾了有关这些问题的文献,旨在对当前与水有关的危害和风险评估进行系统性概述。通过回顾,我们可以深入了解评估方法在支持决策者设计具有成本效益的风险管理战略方面的作用。我们首先概述了水文和水文地质危害与风险的评估程序。然后,我们指出了当前评估方法的不足,特别是在这些风险的经济后果方面。最后,我们列出了文献中可成功用于评估与水有关的风险以及评估减缓行动和干预措施的标准。我们的研究结果表明,要提高与水有关风险的经济和财务影响评估的稳健性,仍需取得重大进展。这项研究可以为与水有关的风险的决策和管理过程提供一些重要的启示,并为今后以这些问题的多面性为重点的研究提供指导。
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Supporting decision-making processes in the assessment of water-related risks: a review of models and methods
The whole world is experiencing the impact of climate change, with an increase in the severity and frequency of water-related hazards and risks at different territorial levels. Consequently, enhancing territorial resilience and reducing these risks have emerged as one of today’s biggest challenges. Within this context, policymakers and planners need robust and transparent decision-making tools to effectively solve and rapidly respond to water-related hazards. This paper reviews the literature on these issues with the aim of providing a systematic overview of the current assessment of water-related hazards and risks. This review can afford an in-depth understanding of the role of evaluation methods in supporting policymakers in the design of cost-effective risk management strategies. We first provide an overview of the procedures for the assessment of hydrological and hydrogeological hazards and risks. We then identify gaps in current evaluation methods, particularly in terms of the economic consequences of these risks. Finally, we list the criteria from the literature that can be successfully adopted to assess water-related risks and to evaluate mitigation actions and interventions. Our findings reveal that significant advances are still needed to improve the robustness of the evaluation of the economic and financial impacts of water-related risks. The study can offer some important insights into decision-making and management processes for water-related risks, as well as a guide for future research focused on the multidimensionality of these issues.
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来源期刊
Valori e Valutazioni
Valori e Valutazioni Social Sciences-Law
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
16
审稿时长
12 weeks
期刊介绍: La rivista ufficiale della SIEV si intitola “Valori e Valutazioni. Teorie ed esperienze”/“Valori e Valutazioni” is the official journal of the Italian Society of Property Evaluation and Investment Decision (SIEV).La rivista si propone di diffondere la cultura della valutazione nei seguenti campi tematici: • architettura, ingegneria civile, edile, dell’ambiente e del territorio, • pianificazione territoriale, urbanistica e ambientale; • investimenti pubblici e privati di natura immobiliare e infrastrutturale; • mercato immobiliare e produzione edilizia; • tutela, valorizzazione e gestione dei beni culturali e ambientali; • finanza immobiliare. A tal fine analizza originali problemi valutativi ed espone applicazioni metodologiche avanzate, alimentando il dibattito scientifico-culturale. Data la multidisciplinarietà dei temi trattati, la rivista si rivolge ad un pubblico molto ampio ed eterogeneo costituito da studiosi e ricercatori, professionisti, imprenditori, tecnici e funzionari della Pubblica Amministrazione.
期刊最新文献
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