基于自适应滑动窗口斜坡检测法的风能与气象相关性分析

Ruan Ming Huang, Hao En Li, Lin Xin Miao, Can Bing Li, Yu Fei Xu, Xiang Deng, Qi Ying Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着风电渗透率的快速上升,风电与气象之间的耦合加强了新电力系统对气象的依赖。风电波动和斜坡事件成为影响电力系统安全稳定运行的关键挑战。为了兼顾风电斜坡事件检测的精度和效率,本文提出了一种基于自适应滑动时间窗的斜坡事件检测方法,包括数据集预处理和压缩、考虑凹凸事件筛选的风电斜坡趋势模式提取和基于自适应滑动时间窗的风电斜坡检测三个主要步骤。分析了风电斜坡事件与温度、风速和风向等气象因素的相关性,验证了所提方法的可行性。结果表明,风速是影响斜坡事件的决定性气象因素,风力也受风向影响。然而,风功率与温度之间的相关性较弱,仅在少数斜坡事件中起作用。
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Correlation analysis of wind power and meteorology based on the ramp detection method with adaptive sliding window
Since the penetration of wind power rises rapidly, the coupling between wind power and meteorology strengthens the dependence of the new power system on meteorology. The fluctuation of wind power and the ramp events become key challenges that affect the safe and stable operation of the power system. To balance the accuracy and efficiency of wind power ramp event detection, an adaptive sliding time window-based ramp event detection method is proposed, which includes three major steps: dataset preprocessing and compression, wind power ramp trend pattern extraction considering bump event screening, and wind power ramp detection based on adaptive sliding time window. The correlation between the ramp event of wind power and meteorological factors like temperature, wind speed and direction are analyzed, and the feasibility of the proposed method is verified. The results show that wind speed is the decisive meteorological factor influencing ramp events, and wind power is also affected by wind direction. However, the correlation between wind power and temperature is weak, which only works in a few ramp events.
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