南极洲海洋乔治王岛菲尔德斯半岛的地面温度趋势和活动层动态。

IF 1.1 4区 综合性期刊 Q3 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Anais da Academia Brasileira de Ciencias Pub Date : 2024-07-29 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI:10.1590/0001-3765202420230743
Tamíres P Correia, Marcio R Francelino, Gustavo V Veloso, Roberto F Michel, Carlos Ernesto Schaefer, Elpídio Inácio Fernandes Filho, Flávio B Justino, Gustavo B Lyra
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引用次数: 0

摘要

地面温度对气候变化的敏感性备受关注。本研究旨在监测和分析时间趋势,并估算南极乔治王岛菲尔德斯半岛监测点的活动层厚度。对数据进行了质量控制和一致性分析。采用了序列自相关、Mann-Kendall、Sen-Slope、Pettitt 和回归分析测试等方法。斯皮尔曼相关性检验了气温与地面深度之间的关系。活动层厚度是用最高月气温估算的,永久冻土下限是用最低月气温估算的。在 67.5 厘米和 83.5 厘米的深度上,观察到显著的夏季季节性趋势,包括 Mann-Kendall tau、正 Sen-Slope 和 Pettitt 坡度。回归分析在所有地层深度和不同季节都是显著的正相关。气温与地表深度之间的相关性最高(r=0.82)。2008 年至 2018 年期间,所有深度都出现了冰冻现象。平均活动层厚度(ALT)为 92.61 厘米。气温难以监测,其估算仍然十分复杂。然而,它是研究气候变化影响的基本要素。
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Ground temperature trend and active layer dynamics in the Fildes Peninsula, King George Island - Marine Antarctica.

Ground temperature's sensitivity to climate change has garnered attention. This study aimed to monitor and analyze temporal trends and estimate Active Layer Thickness from a monitoring point at Fildes Peninsula, King George Island, in Antarctica. Quality control and consistency analysis were performed on the data. Methods such as serial autocorrelation, Mann-Kendall, Sen-Slope, Pettitt, and regression analysis tests were applied. Spearman's correlation examined the relationship between air temperature and ground depths. The active layer thickness was estimated using the maximum monthly temperature, and the permafrost lower limit used the minimum monthly temperature. Significant summer seasonal trends were observed with Mann-Kendall tau, positive Sen-Slope, and Pettitt slope at depths of 67.5 and 83.5 cm. The regression analysis was significant and positive for all ground depths and in different seasons. The highest correlation (r=0.82) between air temperature and surface ground depth was found. Freezing prevailed at all depths during 2008-2018. The average Active Layer Thickness (ALT) was 92.61 cm. Temperature is difficult to monitor, and its estimation is still complex. However, it stands out as a fundamental element for studies that refer to the impacts of climate change.

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来源期刊
Anais da Academia Brasileira de Ciencias
Anais da Academia Brasileira de Ciencias 综合性期刊-综合性期刊
CiteScore
2.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
347
审稿时长
1 months
期刊介绍: The Brazilian Academy of Sciences (BAS) publishes its journal, Annals of the Brazilian Academy of Sciences (AABC, in its Brazilianportuguese acronym ), every 3 months, being the oldest journal in Brazil with conkinuous distribukion, daking back to 1929. This scienkihic journal aims to publish the advances in scienkihic research from both Brazilian and foreigner scienkists, who work in the main research centers in the whole world, always looking for excellence. Essenkially a mulkidisciplinary journal, the AABC cover, with both reviews and original researches, the diverse areas represented in the Academy, such as Biology, Physics, Biomedical Sciences, Chemistry, Agrarian Sciences, Engineering, Mathemakics, Social, Health and Earth Sciences.
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