利用混合和堆栈的深度学习架构预测老挝每周登革热病例

IF 1.6 4区 物理与天体物理 Q3 PHYSICS, CONDENSED MATTER The European Physical Journal B Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI:10.1140/epjb/s10051-024-00752-x
Sathi Patra, Soovoojeet Jana, Sayani Adak, T. K. Kar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要 登革热是一种由节肢动物传播的病毒性疾病,流行于热带和亚热带地区。它对人类健康和全球经济的不利影响怎么强调都不为过。为了提高病媒控制措施的效率,亟需建立能比以往更准确、更紧急地预测登革热病例的机制。因此,我们利用老挝过去十年的每周登革热病例,采用了一些深度学习技术。在这项工作中,我们采用了 CNN 与堆叠 LSTM(BiLSTM)相结合的混合模型,以及 CNN、LSTM、BiLSTM 和 ConvLSTM。比较我们得出的所有输出结果,混合 CNN 和 1 个堆栈式 BiLSTM 在提前一步预测方面优于其他深度学习模型。此外,我们还得出结论,混合 CNN 和 1 个堆叠 BiLSTM 可以大大提高登革热预测能力,并可应用于其他登革热多发地区。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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A deep learning architecture using hybrid and stacks to forecast weekly dengue cases in Laos

Dengue is an arthropod-borne viral disease prevalent in tropical and subtropical regions. Its adverse impact on human health and the global economy cannot be exaggerated. To improve the efficacy of vector control measures, there is a critical need for mechanisms that can forecast dengue cases with greater accuracy and urgency than before. So, we employ some deep learning techniques using the previous ten years of weekly dengue cases in Laos. A hybrid model combining CNN and stacked LSTM (BiLSTM) is applied along with CNN, LSTM, BiLSTM, and ConvLSTM in this work. Comparing all the outputs we have derived, hybrid CNN and 1 stacked BiLSTM outperform other deep learning models with the one-step-ahead prediction. Further, we have concluded that hybrid CNN and 1 stacked BiLSTM can considerably boost dengue prediction and can be applied in other dengue-prone regions.

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来源期刊
The European Physical Journal B
The European Physical Journal B 物理-物理:凝聚态物理
CiteScore
2.80
自引率
6.20%
发文量
184
审稿时长
5.1 months
期刊介绍: Solid State and Materials; Mesoscopic and Nanoscale Systems; Computational Methods; Statistical and Nonlinear Physics
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